The Inflexion Point on the Graph

After a grisly PMQ our Dear Leader will be winging westwards later today to have a brief chinwag with his schoolboy chum who made it good by being made US President . George Bush's dad has assembled a team of geriatric do gooders and well meaners who have taken time off their shuffleboard and bridge to discuss the latest news on the events in the Middle East and to pass on their random thoughts to his gormless son.

One of these guys - incidentally the youngest - who favoured bombing the Nicaraguans back to the Stone Age - which wasn't far according to him - has however given the game away.

Asked by war hero McCain , Robert Gates Defence Secretary nominee told the Senate Armed Services Committee what everyone knows. The US is losing the war in Iraq. Everyone else knows also it is a war that the US CANNOT win.

Dubya and his dog are going to mull over the geriatric's, "Notes for a Better World" pray, swap notes on toothpaste preferences and note that Damascus,Teheran, Riyadh (who effectively told Veep Cheney to fuck off out of their playground last week) Kabul, Tashkent, and their citizens are playing a nasty game of hardball.Dubya is probably mulling quietly over what that apalling General Mushariff (whose name you might recall he couldn't remeber in 200 ?) said about an ally he needed.

The best hope this sad old folks outing will come up with is to call a "regional conference" effectively and acceptance that they have to sue for peace and a chance to withdraw with some sort of honour - but there is nothing worse than having a party and no one wanting to come... so that looks a non-starter.

On arrival our Dear Leader will be wasting time with Senators chatting about climate change - the last refuge of the self important and the largest Department in the School of Busy Fools.

Meanwhile down South of the Border, re-elected Chavez fired by Castro took OPEC by the scruff of the neck in 2000 , strutted his stuff and drove up the oil price and has been re-elected effectively for life. His bold challenge has provided the Anti-American Alliance , Muslim , Middle / Far Eastern and South American with the funds which they needed to first exhaust the US military machine and then destroy it, and it's leaders.

At home Dubya dismally surveys twin deficits, a slumping dollar and a housing market sliding over the abyss, healthcare costs skyrocketing, a failed or failing education system, energy costs socking his citizens ....and don't even mention the polls.

Soon Dubya will be leafing through what Dad's chum Baker has limned in deadly prose ...."if the US or Israel launched declared war by a surprise strike at Iranian nuclear facilities. The Iranians would immediately respond with a Russian made barrage of SS-29 and SS-22 Sunburst anti-ship missiles plus NATO supplied Exocets simultaneously from 5 different angles totaling 140 degrees at every ship in the Persian Gulf.

Result. 10,000 dead, half the world's oil gone , the remainder at US250 a barrel or about Euros 100 - the US$ dumped.

50,000 Iranian led Shi-ite suicide volunteers would flood the Green Zone and cut off US troops in Iraq from their Southern supply lines as the CPA forces in the South (the perfidious Brits)head for Kuwait and Blighty. Many thousands of US troops would be killed and as many taken hostage.

Instantly the reflexive response would be to attack Iran , Syria and what's left of Iraq and the Mideast with nuclear weapons."

It might make the warlords of Washington feel good but it won't solve the problems of the US economy, it won't clear the deficits it won't restore a booming Clintonian economy. It wouldn't restore the steady and determined assault on the Constitution and the Bill of Rights.

Israel would do nothing. Israel would survive and quickly cosy up to their new pimp daddy on the block .... Vladimir Putin - or if really pushed those nice Chinese folks.

If Mr Blair really wanted to show Leadership qualities to the UK and greater Europe he would take note of what Mr Kendall Myers said over the weekend about the UK/US "one sided relationship" and how the US have simply ignored him after getting his help to rush the UN over Iraq.

If Mr Blair had any sense he would discover his plane was strewn with Baloneyium , or he has a bad heart, a bad head cold, a gyppy tummy, a sore knee, the kid's Christmas Play ... or .... but he won't.

He will bestride the world like a Colossus and seal his Fate with Destiny.