"“We have lent a huge amount of money to the U.S. Of course we are concerned about the safety of our assets. To be honest, I am definitely a little worried.” "


Chinese premier Wen Jiabao 12th March 2009


""We have a financial system that is run by private shareholders, managed by private institutions, and we'd like to do our best to preserve that system."


Timothy Geithner US Secretary of the Treasury, previously President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.1/3/2009

Saturday, August 16, 2008

Fullerenes or BuckyBalls - a new and improved method of production discovered


Fullerenes are a family of carbon allotropes, discovered in 1985 which form 3 D molecules composed entirely of carbon, in the form of a hollow sphere, ellipsoid, tube, or plane . Fullerenes are extraordinarily stable and heat-resistant, joining diamonds and graphite as the third form of pure carbon, yet are the only form of carbon that is soluble, leading to easy processing and a variety of chemical modifications for usable nanotechnology materials.

By far the most common fullerene is C60, also known as "buckyballs," which look like soccer balls - are spherical , hollow molecular cages of carbon atoms about a billionth of an inch in diameter. Other relatively common fullerenes are C70, C76, and C84. The architectural structure of fullerene molecules resembles the geodesic domes (like the Eden Project) created by architect and philosopher R. Buckminster Fuller.

The existence of a sperical C60 was predicted in 1970 by Eiji Osawa of Toyohashi University of Technology but not discovered until 2 teams at Sussex University in the UK and Rice University in Florida demonstrated their existence - for which Kroto, Curl, and Smalley were awarded the 1996 Nobel Prize in Chemistry. "The discovery of carbon atoms bound in the form of a ball is rewarded" said the Press elease. Their discovery has opened up an amazing new new field of chemistry.

Curl, Kroto and Smalley performed the experiments together with graduate students J.R. Heath and S.C. OBrien during a period of eleven days in 1985 to produce the first synthesised fullerenes, discovering that modest changes in conditions could affect the size of molecules produced.see pic.

For chemists the proposed structure was uniquely beautiful and satisfying. It corresponds to an aromatic, three-dimensional system in which single and double bonds alternated, and was thus of great theoretical significance. Unsurprisingly 2 books published about the discovery reflect that excitement Jim Baggott, Perfect Symmetry: The Accidental Discovery of Buckminsterfullerene, Oxford University Press, 1994 and Hugh Aldersey-Williams, The Most Beautiful Molecule: An Adventure in Chemistry, Aurum Press, London, 1995,

Subsequently fullerenes have been discovered in such a mundane thing as candle soot and as a result of lightning discharges. Recently they have been found in naturally occuring minerals.

The commercial exploitation of these curious and fascinating 3 dimensional molecules is however still stalled as it has been difficult to produce large quantities for experimental , never mind commercial use. Nearly 2,000 patents already exist for a broad range of pharmaceutical, electronic and other commercial applications, including anticancer and anti-HIV therapies, drugs for neurodegenerative diseases, drug delivery systems, and cosmetic preparations that retard the aging of skin.

The common method of production so far has been by vapourizing graphite. This is a relatively primitive and uncontrolled method., which cannot be used for the more exotic fullerene derivatives or unusual fullerene compounds.

Current techniques are complicated and may require as many as 11 sequential steps, - with final results producing low yields of C60 molecules. This hasn't prevented some commercial exploitation Frontier Carbon Corporation (FCC), which is a joint venture between Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation and Mitsubishi Corporation, which started production an sales of fullerene in May 2002 with a capacity of 400 kg/year. In May 2003, FCC increased the capacity by 100-fold, to 40 ton/year, to supply fullerene and its derivatives with reasonable prices for commercial use. Fullerene-based products started to emerge in 2003 first in sports industry such as bowling balls and golf-club heads in Japan, both of which are of high performance and have become popular products.

In December 2004 FCC (operating under the brand name nanom) decided to begin production of fullerene materials in the U.S. starting in March 2005 in co-operation with TDA Research, Inc.( a U.S. corporation licensed by Massachusetts Institute of Technology to use combustion-based technology for the production of fullerenic products) for serving present and potential customers.

They supply Nanom Mix (mixed fullerenes, including C60 and C70); Nanom Purple (pure C60); Nanom Spectra (tailor-made, chemically functionalized fullerenes); and mixtures of fullerenic materials with unique properties.

A group from Spain led by José Martin-Gago of the Institute of Materials Science in Madrid have now published a better controlled and higher yielding method of production method using surface-catalyzed cyclodehydrogenation. The process produces the C60 molecules with roughly 100% yield.

Indeed, the researchers have used the process to synthesize a heterofullerene C57N3 for the first time.

The method involves depositing the final aromatic precursors (such as C57H33N3) onto a catalytic platinum surface and then heating it to 750 K. This transforms all of the precursors into fullerenes.

Martin-Gago talks of a form of molecular origami in which numerous planar molecules can form into complex structures as envisaged in the graphic shown above.

"The secret is ," he says, "to use the catalytic properties of a surface for inducing dehydrogenation of the precursor molecule."

The method might be used to functionalize standard fullerenes by using different precursor molecules, says the team. And it could be exploited to encapsulate atoms or small molecules to form endohedral fullerenes if the process is carried out in an atmosphere containing guest species.

"We will now use this methodology to encapsulate some magnetic clusters in these molecules and use them as biomarkers," revealed Martin-Gago.

Russia uses Cluster Bombs on civilian targets in Georgia

Human Rights Watch have reported that Russian aircraft dropped RBK-250 cluster bombs, each containing 30 PTAB 2.5M submunitions;

1. On the town of Ruisi in the Kareli district of Georgia on August 12, 2008. Three civilians were killed and five wounded in the attack.

2. On the same day, a cluster strike in the center of the town of Gori killed at least eight civilians and injured dozens, Human Rights Watch said. Dutch journalist Stan Storimans was killed. Israeli journalist Zadok Yehezkeli was seriously wounded and evacuated to Israel for treatment after surgery in Tbilisi. An armored vehicle from the Reuters news agency was perforated with shrapnel from the attack.

HRW interviewed victims, doctors, and military personnel in Georgia. They examined photos of craters and video footage of the August 12 attack on Gori.

HRW has also seen a photo of the submunition carrier assembly and nose cone of an RBK-250 bomb in Gori. A video of an attack on Gori showed more than two dozen simultaneous explosions during the attack, which is characteristic of cluster bombs. Two persons wounded in Gori described multiple simultaneous explosions at the time of the attack. Craters in Gori were also consistent with a cluster strike.

Asked about reports of the use of cluster bombs, deputy chief of Russia's General Staff, Colonel-General Anatoly Nogovitsyn, told a news conference "We never use cluster bombs. There is no need to do so." Another report from RIA Novosti says he said,""We did not use cluster bombs, and what's more there was absolutely no necessity to do so."

Then he accused Georgian troops of planting mines in Tskhinvali as they retreated from the South Ossetian capital .

Georgia has already filed a 33 page complaint at the International Court of Justice who have issued a Press release

Georgia claims :

These efforts, culminated on 8 August as Russian ground forces, warships and airplanes launched a fullscale invasion of Georgia in support of ethnic separatists in South Ossetia and Abkhazia.
At the Dublin Diplomatic Conference on Cluster Munitions in May, diplomats agreed on a draft treaty banning the use, manufacture, and stockpiling of cluster munitions .

No representatives were sent to the conference from the US, China, Russia, Israel, India, or Pakistan, whose governments collectively make up the world's largest producers and users of cluster bombs. Unexpectedly on the morning of May 28 the British government announced it was willing to give up cluster munitions that it had used in recent years in Iraq. See BBC film of Cluster bombs in use.

"We have decided we will take all our types of cluster bombs out of service," Mr Brown told reporters in London. Which is a very carefully worded statement as the stockpiles will remain - because they are not "in service".

American officials did not attending the treaty talks . However they spent a great deal of high powered effort in world capitals to undermine the treaty. Diplomats in Dublin reported part time pionao player US Secretary of State Condeleezza Rice and even President George W. Bush had been telephoning their counterparts around the world to promote the US opposition to the treaty.

Expert analysts of the treaty say it will require the United States to remove its stockpiles of cluster munitions at several military bases around the world, a measure that Washington had firmly opposed.

A loophole allows continued military and other cooperation between parties and non-parties to the treaty, which must still be ratified by individual signatory nations before entering into full effect.

In May 2008, 107 nations agreed to a total ban on cluster munitions, the Russians neither particpated nor signed but in a statement on the matter in June (Anatoly Antonov, Director, Department for Security Affairs and Disarmament, Foreign Ministry of the Russian Federation, June 6 2008) - aimed at Western allies they condemned other nations’ use of cluster bombs acknowledging the harm they cause to civilians:


“Of course, we welcome the intention of a whole array of nations to renounce the use of cluster munitions as a means of warfare. We understand the motives behind this decision. During the recent armed conflicts in Yugoslavia, Iraq, Afghanistan, and Lebanon the indiscriminate use of individual types of weapon, primarily western-made CMs, led to serious civilian casualties and injuries. This has turned the problem into a key issue facing the international community….

…we are convinced that the main causes of CM-related humanitarian problems lie, first and foremost, on the plane of their improper use and of departure from the principles and norms of IHL, especially when they were used in places where large numbers of civilians congregate

It is worth remembering - " In March and April (2003). U.S. and British forces used almost 13,000 cluster munitions, containing nearly 2 million submunitions, that killed or wounded more than 1,000 civilians" ("The Conduct of the War and Civilian Casualties in Iraq," Human Rights Watch, Dec. 12, 2003).

What is happening now in Georgia .. Ossetian gangsters attack celebrated journalist Margarita Akhvlediani


The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Georgia has issued a continuous stream of statements about the position in Georgia these can be read here.

Alternatively they have been provided as a single document here up to 14th August here.

The notes of the Press Conference on August 14th with Dr Rice the part time piano player and friend of Dubya whose holidays have been interrupted are well worth reading. They bring back memories of Ms Golspie having a chat with that nice Mr Saddam Hussein so many years ago - Lord Patel has a feeling in his gut that this quote will last for a long time as a reflection of the way the US dministration were caught on the hop.

"This is not 1968 and the invasion of Czechoslovakia, where Russia can threaten its neighbors, occupy a capital, overthrow a government, and get away with it. Things have changed."
QUESTION: You just said that this is not 1968, where Russia can do this and get away with it, and you’ve talked of consequences, but we have yet to really see any. When – at what point – how far – how much further can Russia continue to go before we actually see the United States do something?

QUESTION: Madame Secretary, you say that – again, that this is not 1968, but you’ve been – for several months, have been noticing Russia’s actions towards Georgia. Officials in the building (State department)have been very concerned not just about South Ossetia, but also about intentions towards – towards Georgia. And in – and since these attacks, officials have said that it seems to be premeditated, pre-planned, and that the swiftness with which Russian forces moved into Georgia show that it wasn’t necessarily only about South Ossetia, but something larger.

How did the U.S. miss the signals that this was some kind of large-scale invasion of Georgia? And are you concerned that the Russians feel that it is 1968 and they’re trying to invade other – are you concerned that they might invade other countries, such as Ukraine or other areas, where they have so-called citizens that they’re concerned –

QUESTION: Yes. You’ve mentioned several times that Russia could have done what it said it wanted to do and stopped and that they’ve overreached. As, among other things, an analyst of Russians and, before that, the Soviets, what do you think this is about? In that case, since they’ve still continued, what do you think it’s about? And how long do you think it will take for them to reach what they’re trying to reach?

SECRETARY RICE: Well, they told the French President that their military operations had ended.

There are 4 statements issued by the MFA up to date for August 15th ;

15-08-2008 22:30 - Timeline by 15th of August 22:00
15-08-2008 19:00 - Timeline by 15th of August 19:00
15-08-2008 16:30 - Timeline by 15th of August 16:30
15-08-2008 10:00 - Timeline by 15th of August by 10:00

Timeline by 15th of August 22:00 - an example

15 August

21:50 Russian troops continued movement from Khashuri and are in Surami close to Khashuri on central highway.

21:00 Russian troops entered Khashuri about 100kms west from Tbilisi and opened checkpoint. About 10 Tanks are in the city. Eyewitnesses report that they behave very cynically and terrorize civilians pointing guns to them or Tank guns to their cars and houses.

20:00 Russian troops began preparing tranches for armored vehicles and soldiers near the entrance of Senaki.

18:30 9 armored vehicles of Russian Army accompanied by 3 Mi-24 helicopters moved towards Tbilisi. They stopped and opened check point near village Igoeti 20 kms from Tbilisi, Kaspi district

10:30 Near village Sagolasheni, Gori district, vehicle of freelance journalist Margarita Akhvlediani *** was stopped by South Ossetian separatists. Vehicle was shot. Journalist was robbed of her car, camera and other belongings. (Read her Despatch from Georgia in the The Nation - timeline 11th August here.) see also Times report today.

Human Rights Watch researchers have uncovered evidence that Russian aircraft dropped cluster bombs (banned by 107 nations) in populated areas in Georgia during the air attacks from 6th of August, killing at least 11 civilians and injuring dozens, Human Rights Watch said today.

Russian Navy continues controlling Georgian Territorial Waters.
***Margarita Akhvlediani was born in Bishkek, Kyrgystan, but has lived most of her life in the Republic of Georgia and earned her bachelor's degree in journalism at the State University of Georgia. She worked as a reporter, editor and producer at Georgian newspapers, radio and TV stations throughout the civil war and social breakdown of the country in the early 1990s. She helped found the pioneering news agency Black Sea Press and was Georgian correspondent for the legendary Russian radio station Ekho Moskvy. She joined the London based Institute for War and Peace Reporting in 2002, editing the Caucasus Reporting Service and training journalists throughout the Caucasus. In 2006, she won a Knight Fellowship for Professional Journalism and spent a year at Stanford University. In summer 2007, she won a Dart Center Ochberg Fellowship in Journalism and Trauma.

She manages 150 journalists from the Caucasus regions, editing articles for the world weekly bulletin of IWPR Caucasus Reporting Service (http://www.iwpr.net/). She also conducts trainings for local journalists in the post-Soviet Republics of Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan and the North Caucasian regions of Russia including Chechnya to teach them international standards of journalism.

The latest report on iwpr is this ;

Gori: Russian Allies Triumphant as City Burns
An IWPR journalist, allowed into Gori on a Russian tank, witnesses exultant pro-Moscow fighters rampaging through the blazing city.
By Idrak Abbasov in Gori (CRS No. 454, 14-Aug-08)“The Georgians have to understand that we’re not afraid of [United States President] Bush….threatening us with his marines and paratroopers,” insisted the Russian soldier who called himself a commander, tank captain and a member of what he says are Russia’s peacekeeping troops. His tank was standing outside the Georgian town of Gori.

Can planes fly as fast through skyscrapers as they can through air ?

It seems unlikely... Thanks to Killtown for this.

Sir Paul McCartney plays in Kiev and Tony Blair takes a bow in Yalta - Ukraine billionaires provide the circuses


Elena Franchuk is the second wife of Jewish / Ukrainian billionaire Viktor Mykhaylovych Pinchuk ( Віктор Михáйлович Пінчýк) - he owns 4 TV channels (including the major channel ICTV (International Commercial Television)) and Ukraine's most popular tabloid, Fakty i Kommentarii and who owns amongst many other things EastOne, "in talent we trust" an investment company based at 2/3 Duke Street, St. James’s, SW1Y 6BN London.

Mr. Pinchuk dreams of closer ties between Ukraine and the EU. In furtherance of this aim , he created the Yalta European Strategy (YES). This is an international independent organization that promotes the project for Ukraine joining the European Union.

YES organise a junket in Yalta as a forum for high-level Ukraine-EU debate. This years conference on July 11th-12th was opened by Rt Hon Stephen Byers, MP, Chairman of the Board of YES and the Keynote speaker was Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Managing Director of the IMF. On the Saturday Karl Rove the Texas Turd Blossom held forth, followed oddly enough by Mikhail Saakashvili, President of Georgia. ... and later on by Tony Blair who was apparently UK Prime Minister (1997 – 2007)

Last Saturday an estimated 200,000 (350,000 according to New Musical Express) people crowded Kiev's Independence Square,in the teeming rain , to hear a free concert by ex-Beatle Sir Paul McCartney. The gig was simultaneously broadcast on giant screens in six other Ukrainian cities and on television, with an estimated 10 million people watching.

The singer greeted the audience, which included former Ukrainian and actual Georgian presidents Leonid Kuchma and Mikheil Saakashvili, by the words in Ukrainian "Pryvit, druzi!" (Hello, friends!). "Thank you for coming out in the rain tonight".

Victor Pinchuk organised and paid the bills for this "Independence Concert", which was organised to promote the idea of unity between the pro-Western central and west region with the pro-Russian south-eastern regions... and sell papers and advertising on his TV channels.

It is after all a step up from South Ossetia using Boney M to promote Russia last summer - see post Saturday, October 13, 2007 Bullets and Boney M used in attacks on Abkhazian and Ossetian separatists

Remember "Rasputin" ?

There lived a certain man in Russia long ago
He was big and strong,
in his eyes a flaming glow
Most people looked at him with terror and with fear
But to moscow chicks he was such a lovely dear

He could preach the Bible like a preacher
Full of ecstacy and fire
But he also was the kind of teacher
Women would desire

Sir Paul is back in the UK and tells Lord patel he has a new love in his life.

Friday, August 15, 2008

Georgia - the dress rehearsal for Ukraine ..already suffering from once ina century floods and a very nasty gas bill shock due at New Year....

Elisabeth Byrs of the U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) reports that “The situation on the ground (in Georgia) is deteriorating, sparking a significant movement of population”. The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) reports that more than 2,000 people have died in the first week of fighting and nearly 100,000 have been uprooted from their homes.

The Adventist Development and Relief Agency (ADRA) has been operating for the last 8 years in South Ossetia region, implementing health projects from its local office in Tskhinvali.

They report that according to UN estimates there approximately 56,000 displaced persons inside Georgia, of which more than 40,000 are from Gori. An additional 12,000 residents of South Ossetia have been left homeless inside Georgia, while 30,000 others have crossed into Russia’s North Ossetia region.

The UN also reports that 1,000 ethnic Georgians from the upper Kodori Gorge in Abkhazia, a region by the Black Sea that borders Russia, have become displaced following violence there.

Because many areas under conflict remain inaccessible, the number of (Internally Displaced Persons) IDPs is expected to rise. Food, water, shelter, and medical supplies are becoming difficult to find, intensifying an already difficult situation for local residents.

In Tbilisi, there has been a rapid influx of displaced persons fleeing the fighting , which has strained the city’s food supply, medical, and shelter capacities, ADRA plans to provide medical assistance to those affected.

A major disaster - the worst floods for a century in Ukraine

All the while this is going on in Georgia there has been virtally no reporting of the flooding and subsequent destruction in prospective NATO ally Ukraine, when between July 23 to July 26, massive storms hit western Ukraine, forcing thousands from their homes, and submerging hundreds of towns and villages. Nearly 40 people have been listed as either dead or missing since the onset of the storms, which government officials say are the worst storm to hit Ukraine in a century.

According to the Ukrainian Ministry of Emergency, more than 422 miles (679 km) of highway and motor roads and more than 900 bridges were destroyed in the storms. This has left more than 300 towns and villages without electricity, downing communication lines, and blocking food access routes throughout five regions of western Ukraine.

The floods , mainly from the Prut, Dniestr (15 metres above its normal level) and Seret rivers have submerged 40,600 homes and over 84,000 acres, (34,000 hectares) of farmland in western areas - some reports claim over 100,000 acres.

The regions of Ukraine most affected are Ivano-Frankivsk, Chernivtsi, Transkarpatsky, Ternopil and L’viv. In Ivano-Frankivsk alone, 50,000 are suffering from the impact of the floodwaters. Heavy floods have also hit neighbouring riparian areas of the Dniester River in Romania and Moldova. In the Moldovan capital, Chisinau, three people were found dead after being swept away by floodwaters, an Interior Ministry official said. Two drowned when they became trapped under cars while trying to cross a flooded road. Another was found under a bridge.

The authorities in Romania said that four people had died and more than 11,000 been evacuated.

The flooding has hit the Ukraine local farming economy and (OCHA) report that flooding in the Ivano-Frankivsk region has destroyed as much as 75 % of planted crops causing an estimated US$80 Mn. loss according to Deputy Agriculture Minister Serhiy Melnyk.

President Viktor Yushchenko on July 30th declared a 3 month state of emergency in western Ukraine.

The Ukraine Government are watching events in Georgia very closely and at a ceremony today granting 72 housing orders to the military in the Novohrad-Volynskyi garrison ,Defense Minister Yurii Yekhanurov said,"149,000 servicemen are enough to guarantee sovereignty and security of our country." Hmmm.

On the 31st July , the Euro-Atlantic Disaster Response Coordination Centre (EADRCC) - which is a NATO body, received an urgent request for assistance in coping with flooding from Ukraine.

Their latest SitRep is dated August 7th and they confirm 36 people, including 8 children died, 2 are missing and about 500 people have been injured. They list the EAPC (EU basically) countries who have contributed to an appeal for equipment - Austria, Czeck republic, Greece,Hungary, Poland, Lithuania, Russian Federation, Slovak Republic, Belgium, Estonia, Spain and Switzerland - something been overlooked here by Messrs, Brown, Benn and Milliband ?

If the UK Government want to help they can contact The Euro-Atlantic Disaster Response Coordination Centre can be reached in the following ways:
Telephone: +32-2-707.2670
Fax : +32-2-707.2677
Mobile Phone: +32-475-829.071
e-mail: Eadrcc@hq.nato.int
or they could have a look at them on the Internet website thingy here - http://www.nato.int/eadrcc/home.htm or perhaps have quick look at the manual "NATO’s Role in Disaster Assistance"


" ....the capabilities to protect our populations against the effects of war could also be used to protect them against the effects of disasters. As early as 1953, following disastrous North Sea floods, NATO had an agreed disaster assistance scheme. By 1958, the North Atlantic Council had established procedures for NATO coordination of assistance between member countries in case of disasters."

Given the circumstances in Georgia you might have thought that even those not on holiday in Whitehall might lend a hand to Ukraine if only in solidarity to NATO. If only to get some practice in when the Russian Bear decides to cut up rough in East Ukraine.

Just a thought.

PS : See Friday, August 15, 2008 Could Ukraine Become Russia's Next Target? @ Kiev Ukraine News Blog. "Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko prohibited ships from the Russian Black Sea Fleet that are engaged off the Georgian coast from returning to port on Ukraine's Crimean peninsula without Kiev's official permission.....Russia's Black Sea Fleet, which leases naval facilities in Sevastopol in Crimea, will likely steam back to port in defiance of a Ukrainian presidential order that it must first ask for Ukrainian permission."If Russia openly challenges Ukrainian sovereignty, I think that Ukraine will then turn to the West and say, 'you know guys, they're challenging our sovereignty with their fleet."

And this will happen without any kind of use of arms, or anything made in anger.

PPS : January 2009 Ukraine is committed to begin paying Russia’s Gazprom in the range of US$400 per 1,000 cubic meters for natural gas or US$22 billion per year. Presently the country pays US$179 per 1,000 cubic meters, or US $9.9 billion per year.

Viktor Yanukovych, is the leader of the opposition pro-Russian Party of the Regions - who have kept quiet about the price increase - Gazprom and the Kremlin might be tempted to play the “gas card” in order to see Yanukovych elected and to gain control—if not direct ownership—of the Ukrainian trunk gas pipeline, a long-time objective of Russian policy meant to give Gazprom the ultimate say over the largest supply route of Russian gas to Europe.

With a possible debt of over US$10 billion by late 2009, the new Ukrainian government could be forced to sell the pipeline to Gazprom by writing off most of the accumulated debt — as well as a substantial part of its industrial base, maintain the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol and renounce its intention to join NATO.

... if it is cold in December ...

I you see Sid (or Gordon or Hilary of the Boy David )..tell 'em.



PPS - want to know more about Pridnestrovyaian Moldova Republic and their contacts with South Ossetia ? See Volunteers from Pridnestrovya leave for South Ossetia 8th August 2008 2008

7/7 Bombers stunning new London Transport bus CCTV pictures : amazing new evidence : Amazing pictures



Zhen Xing Yang, 25, and his girl friend Xi Zhou, 25, (CiCi to the tabloids) were discovered murdered in their ground floor flat in Newcastle last Saturday.

This remarkable frame from a motion sequence of CCTV on a Newcastle bus , which has no evidential value whatsoever of pretty Xi Zhou catching a bus, will appear in the Daily Mail tomorrow 6 days after the murder to slake the public's thirst for grisly voyeurism.... and boy does this story tick the boxes, pretty girl, Premier football, match fixing, beating the bookies, torture, ritually murdered cats (what sort of beast are we dealing with ?) , Chinese.

Yet of 8,000 hours of CCTV seized by the Met (and seen by no-one else - and for all we know has been trashed) after the 7/7 bombings 3 years ago we have only a smattering of still images.

We will of course get to see those fascinating CCTV pics and motion fillum when the 7/7 inquests are held (with 47 anonymous Plods, SAS, MI5/6/7//8 )..er..eventually. Of course we will. Won't we ?

Greenpeace and the Magic Documents - How they are mongering scares and totally missing the point about nuclear power - it's too expensive chuck

Readers will know we here at Forth Coming UK Energy deficit (FCUKED) have been following the construction of the new nuclear Reactor Olkiluoto 3 by Areva for a very long time . See official progress update here.

Now Greenpeace in a fine piece of mongering nuclear scares has published an article "Safety procedures in disarray at Finland’s Olkiluoto 3 nuclear construction site" under the banner

They say rather excitedly in the manner of a tabloid

..."Documents (what, where, who the authors are, source etc., unstated) seen by Greenpeace show that French company Areva is failing to implement vital safety procedures in the troubled construction of its prototype European Pressurized Water Reactor (EPR) in Olkiluoto, Finland. As well as being 2-3 years behind schedule, 70 per cent over budget, and experiencing 1,500 construction defects along with a damaging fire, the reactor’s safety cannot be guaranteed."


These magic documents they claim show that "Bouygues, an Areva sub-contractor, has had no qualified welding supervisors at the site for over a year and still does not have any. Staff are given a mere two weeks’ training instead of having the international standard university degree. The company also listed people who had not worked in the role as welding supervisors."

Then in the finest tabloid why oh why fashion they fashion questions based on these magic and unseen and inacessible to the reader documents.

"It is clear that there can be little public confidence in the construction of the Olkiluoto 3 nuclear reactor. How and why are we to believe assurances on matters of safety from the likes of Areva now and in the future? "

Then the MOnbiot calculus is brought into play ..."Think of a number ... er.. make it bigger"

" ..... why should we tolerate or allow such attitudes, incompetence and deception in the construction of a nuclear facility which, in the event of an accident, could cause massive, unquantifiable damage to our health and the environment? "



The Finnish Radiation and Nuclear Safety Authority (STUK) rejected Greenpeace's claims about serious security related flaws in welding work done at the Olkiluoto nuclear reactor construction site.

Petteri Tiippana, section head at STUK, told the Finnish News Agency (STT) yesterday that the STUK has closely monitored essential welding jobs. Some deficiencies were detected last summer in less important assembly welding, but they have been ordered to be fixed already, Mr Tiippana said.

According to Mr Tiippana the claims made Tuesday evening by a Finnish Broadcasting Company (YLE) television programme that the French Bouygues construction company would have forbidden its employees to report problems at the Olkiluoto construction site were far more serious.

"Such a working culture is not suited for a sensitive field like this under any circumstance," Mr Tiippana said.

A request for clarification has been submitted to Finnish utility Teollisuuden Voima (TVO), which has overall responsibility for the construction site.

The Finnish nation has taken immense care in developing Olkiluoto 3 and the public was allowed a referendum on the decision. Never before or since has there been so much public consultation and transparency.

STUK is a highly rational, competent regulatory authority.

Lord Patel has submitted a request for clarification of the Documents that greenpeace have seen.
Future problems with nuclear power

Safety is a continuing concern (not a problem) , good design practice, competent monitoring and regulation should ensure that problems in use do not occur.

The problem with nuclear power is one of cost of the electricity produced. see Thursday, May 29, 2008 Hutton , Brown call for "a significant expansion of nuclear power " ... well up to a point Lord Copper

In April this year two major (and well informed) Utility figures spoke about the concerns that a nuclear revival could be slowed or even halted if the current supply chain crunch ends up pricing nuclear out of the market.

Gerd Jaeger, is an engineer and Executive Vice President of RWE Power AG, he has warned vendors must "de-bottleneck the bottlenecks" at the front end of the nuclear power plant supply chain. Because of a shortage of manufacturing capacity for large forgings, vendors are asking potential customers to commit far in advance of concrete reactor projects.

Sandor Liive, CEO of Eesti Energia, the Estonian state-owned utility, said his company is considering several options for nuclear power because "nuclear is an option that any energy company that wants to be competitive in the future has to consider."

Among the options are construction, with Latvia, Lithuania and (perhaps) Poland, of a new plant at Ignalina, participation in a new reactor in Finland, and construction of a domestic nuclear plant.

Liive said Eesti Energia was "thinking about nuclear" only because the cost of domestic power production from oil shale was rising above the projected cost of nuclear power from new plants, at around €45/MWh.

HERE IS THE IMPORTANT POINT

At that level, which implied a capital cost of €2 million a megawatt, new nuclear was attractive, he said. "But if it were €3 million per MW and €65-70/MWh, there's no point" in investing in a new nuclear plant, "at least from Eesti Energia's viewpoint." (If the 1,600-MW Olkiluoto comes in at €5 million plus we are looking at well over €3 million per MW )

THAT WAS THE IMPORTANT POINT - GEDDIT ?

Material cost pressures affect all energy generating projects -- CCGTs, coal, wind, hydro, wave , not just nuclear.

RWE's Jaeger has revealed that nuclear power plant vendors are asking utilities to put down "hundreds of millions of euros" to reserve large forgings needed for the nuclear steam supply systems of modern reactors. It was "prohibitive for an investor" to commit such sums "at a very early stage of a project," when they did not know if the project would proceed.

Jaeger said that even in countries where new nuclear plants were on the agenda, "it's rather difficult to convince all the decision-makers" who need to act before a plant can be ordered and construction started.

He cited the need for public debate, time needed for regulatory approvals, and "the political environment" as uncertainties in a nuclear plant project schedule. Jaeger said "innovative approaches" were needed to finance new nuclear projects, in which risk is shared equitably among all parties.

It is evident that Gormless Gordon and his merry crew haven't a clue of the problems in even placing initial contracts for the first plants, the costs involved, the problems of manpower, especially skilled engineers. He is of busy balancing global supply and demand of the 300US$Trillion global oil market by easing the Petroleum Development Tax on 30 minor fields in the North Sea which were opened prior to 1993.

Oh Yes! He has also issued some more onshore licenses for oil which currently yields less than 1% of UK production and less than 1/2% of demand. every little helps - or the Treasury candle ends philosophy.

PS Tata of India is considering (15th August 2008) investing in new nuclear plant and they quote that General Electric of the US has developed an economical simplified boiling water reactor with a capacity of 1,500 MW per unit. Two such units will cost anywhere between US$2.75 and 3.25 billion. This represents a cost today of €4.5 to €5 billion for 2.2 MW or €2. 5 per MW.

Westinghouse of the US also has its advanced pressurised water reactor technology of 1,100 MW per unit capacity, costing US$3.5-4 billion for two units = less than €2. 0 per MW.

So Tata say " the minimum investment for us will be at least US$3 billion. We will go in for at least two units having a total capacity of 2,200-3,400 MW."

Presumably these are bang up to date costs - India has lower constructions costs, lower land costs, no planning problems etc.,

Tata made this announcement after the proposed nuclear cooperation agreement with the United States ( agrred with Dubya when he visited) cleared another hurdle, after the International Atomic Energy Agency unanimously approved the deal last week. Before coming into effect, the deal must still be approved by the Nuclear Suppliers Group and ratified by the American congress.

The controversial U.S.-India agreement would provide India with access to global nuclear fuel and technology in exchange for regulatory access to its civilian nuclear facilities. Its critics continue to attack India’s refusal to sign a nuclear nonproliferation agreement.

UPDATE : URANIUM COST

See graph above and also - "Uranium futures continue to paint a bright picture. August contracts are worth US$66, September futures are worth US$67, October US$69, November US$70, and December US$72. Looking further ahead, we find June 2009 futures worth US$74, and September 2009, December 2009, and March 2010 futures all worth US$78."

Thursday, August 14, 2008

NYPD in Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Terrorism , Ring of Steel , Manhattan lockdown in Operation Sentinel exciting surge initiative

The NYPD is apparently working on a plan to transform Manhattan , into a copy of highly secure London's financial centre . The UK capital's "ring of steel" uses automatic number plate recognition at 16 entry and 12 exit points where the roads have been narrowed and marked with iron posts to force drivers to slow down. Now NYPD are starting with a somewhat belated effort to guard against a terrorist attack by copying the limeys.

Operation Sentinel, will operate at all tunnels, and bridges ,it will also using sensors to detect the presence of radioactivity.

Paul Browne, deputy police commissioner for public information says the data collected would be stored for at least a month and then eliminated if it were not linked to a law enforcement investigation. In the UK nobody knows how long theykeep the data.

Steven Emerson, executive director of the Investigative Project on Terrorism in Washington, told the NYT: “The bottom line is they can’t frisk everybody coming into Manhattan. They can’t wand everyone as they do at airports.” We have news for you Steve - we are already doing this with random checks on railway stations.

"This is a tool" he says, "to identify if someone , is on a terrorist watch list or driving erratically, or if a pattern develops that raises suspicions, it gives them an opportunity to investigate further and if need be, track down the drivers or the passengers.”

On top of this the entire 16-acre World Trade Center site will form a tight security zone, in which only specially screened taxis, limousines or cars would be allowed to enter past barriers staffed by NYPD.

All service and delivery trucks for the site would be directed to an underground bomb screening center near ground zero.

New York began installing 1,000 closed-circuit cameras with 3,000 sensors in the city’s subway system in 2004. Let's hope that they manage to capture the events when some inoccent gets murdered by the state as they irritatingly do in the UK.

FBI Director Robert S. Mueller said in May 2007 that Osama bin Laden (if he is still alive , on the FBI wanted list, retired on a CIA pension etc.,) and his terrorist group desperately want to obtain nuclear devices and explode them in American cities, especially New York and Washington, D.C., in an effort to kill hundreds of thousands of Americans.

He said ominously: “We are going to be hit at some point. It’s just a question of when and to what extent.”

Mueller said the nuclear threat is so real that he sometimes wakes up in the middle of the night worrying about that possibility.

In the Washington Times (owned by Sun Myung Moon) on June 11th last year he is quoted "it was only a matter of time and economics before terrorists will be able to purchase nuclear weapons and that the world's law-enforcement community must unite to prevent it.

"Our greatest weapon is unity," Mr. Mueller said at the Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Terrorism law-enforcement conference in Miami.He also noted that, " Osama bin Laden sought to buy uranium in Sudan in 1993." That recent Bob ? Hey , he must have a whole warehouse full by now.

DEfRA act to seek and destroy unwanted immigrants - bio warfare terror pest alert !!!

The BBC "Today" programme brought attention to a curious bug "Mysterious insect baffles experts" . Apparently an unidentifiable tiny red and black bug (the use of the word bug in this context has a precise taxonomic purpose - distinct from it's use by advertsing copyriters and others to identify any apparently unpleasant animal/ insect specimen) which first appeared in the Natural History Museum's Wildlife Garden in March 2007 and the rice grain sized bug "baffled" scientists.

Eventually they decided it most resembled a rare species of the Hemiptera or bugs Arocatus roeselii Fam Lygaeidae , that is usually found in central Europe.

A fascinating and beautifully illustrated on line guide to the British Bugs by Joe Botting and Tristan Bantock is available here.

The Natural History Museum sought help to identify the bug from the public and invited listeners to e-mail the propgramme. Impolitely they failed to answer e-mails from Lord Patel who suggested that it's sudden appearane maysuggest a common source of wood boring beetles who's origins may be found in Chinese packing cases which were the source (it appears) of a very unwelcome imigrant in the US called Anoplophora glabripennis (Motschulsky), the Asian Longhorned Beetle (ALB), which is well established near New York City and Chicago and eradication efforts have cost US389 Mn.

A closely related species - The Citrus Longhorn Beetle (Anoplophora chinensis) was discovered at a nursery in Athens, GA in late April 1999 on crepe myrtle (Lagerstroemia) bonsai imported from China.

It was therefore of great interest that DEfRA have announced today that The Citrus Longhorn Beetle (Anoplophora chinensis) and about 12 mm long , has been brought into the UK on Acer plants (Acer palmatum or 'Japanese Maple') They have recently been found in the UK following the distribution by mail order of at least 90,000 potentially infested plants imported from China via the Netherlands before distribution from Guernsey. (see below)

This pest is not established in Great Britain but there have been recent findings in Gloucestershire and Lancashire.

If you find one you should obtain samples if possible and immediately contact your local Plant Health and Seeds Inspector (PHSI) details of whom can be found on the Defra website - http://www.defra.gov.uk/planth/senior.htm or telephone 01904 455174.

Defra have more information on their website with an extremely informative and well illustrated leaflet about the Citrus Longhorn Beetle here (pdf)

It is evident that this is matter of serious concern. Citrus longhorn beetles have been intercepted in the UK at nurseries, bonsai importers and in private gardens on imported trees and bonsais from China, Japan and South Korea.

The most common hosts have been maples especially Acer palmatum (Japanese maple) and A. buergerianum (Trident maple), also imported Malus spp. bonsais (dwarf apple trees).

There is an ongoing outbreak of the beetle in Lombardia, Italy. Currently, the only totally effective way of controlling larvae and pupae is to fell and chip or burn infested trees. Foliar insecticide sprays can be effective against adults, but are not effective against larvae and pupae. Eradication measures have included the destruction of hundreds of mature trees.

Citrus Longhorn Beetle in the USA

In August 2001, three specimens of A. chinensis, were discovered in a Tukwila, Washington (USA) nursery on Japanese Maple bonsai plants (Acer spp.) imported from Korea.This was the first identification but it has spread since and is now a notifiable pest. Good identification pics here

This is of serious concern in the US because host plants of this a polyphagous pest can include many important agricultural crops -including Citrus aurantiifolia (lime), C. aurantium (sour orange), C. limonia (mandarin lime), C. maxima (pummelo), C. nobilis (tangerine), and C. sinensis (navel orange). Other hosts include Psidium guajava (guava), Carya illinoinensis (pecan).

The damage associated with CLHB is caused by the larval stages which feeds and tunnel on the woody portion of the host plant trunk.

Biological control in the US has been provided by predation by the weaver/red ants, Oecophylla smaragdina (Fab.) and the pathogenic fungi Beauveria brongniartii (Sacc.) is known to cause high adult mortality.

Otherwise systemic insecticides (useless on adults) such as imidacloprid can be injected in trees.

Thompson & Morgan Group Ltd.,

Thompson & Morgan (Group) Ltd operate from Poplar Lane, Ipswich and have a famous, successful and massive brand for selling seeds and plants by mail order in the UK . Group sales in the year to June 30, 2007 were £39.4 million.

However if you go to their website http://www.thompson-morgan.com/ and purchase anything ,you are actually dealing with Thompson & Morgan (Young Plants) Ltd, Longue Hougue Depot , Longue Hougue Lane , St. Sampson , Guernsey ,GY2 4JN

Guernsey is one of the Channel Island Bailiwicks and is a Crown dependency with an independently administrated jurisdictions, not forming part of the United Kingdom or of the European Union - but is treated as part of the United Kingdom for British nationality law purposes.

Due to this quirk of history , geography and UK VAT tax law , if you buy anything from a Guernsey company you do not pay VAT at 17.5%. In October last year T & M bought Rainbow Flowers Ltd another Guernsey-based supplier of fresh and silk flowers, gifts and chocolates.

The purchaser is blissfully unaware of this as VAT paid is not required to be stated on any sales invoice, but it does provide the seller with a serious competitive advantage in selling against a UK resident company.

However the writ of the The Advertsing Standards Authority does cover their UK activities and they upheld a complaint in May about T & M's "Highlights for 2008 catalogue ". A number of different Fuchsias were pictured with explanatory text below. Beneath two of the pictures, text stated "NEW! 'Mood Indigo'" and "NEW! 'Tom West'".

The complainant challenged the description of the Tom West and Mood Indigo varieties of fuchsia as "new", because he understood that they were old varieties. This complaint was upheld and T & M were told to make clear in future catalogues whether the varieties of Fuchsia were new to their catalogue or newly introduced varieties of Fuchsia.

Anyway if you go online and select from the quick index "Bonsai Japanese Maple" you will find this picture and enticing half price offer (plus postage)

There is no warning and no suggestion that stock is unavailable.

Guernsey & Latvia - a historical aside

Another curious feature of Guernsey is that before Latvia was a member of the EU they used to have a special approved "agricultural student" scheme so that girls could obtain work experience packing bulbs and plants in boxes in cold unheated warehouses for 6 months at a time. A constant problem for the ever vigilant authorities in Guernsey was the leakage of such girls into the hotel and restaurant trade so critical to the holiday island - and even across on a ferry to the UK.

Entry into the EU now provides the charming and very beautiful girls of Latvia rights of entry into the golden layered pavements of the UK.

So the holidaymaker or tired financial analyst, instead of having their bed turned down by a beaming Latvian lady, is now more likely to finf it done by a smiling Sri Lankan or Filipino.

Why Putin pulled out of the Treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) last year

Bush's boys announced mid 2007 that some of the bits (hopefully one's that work) of the new "ballistic missile defense system" would be placed in Poland and the Czech Republic.

To little comment at the time , on July 14th 2007 Russia announced that it would withdraw from the 1990 Treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE). Russian officials made a point that in 2001, the Bush administration unilaterally pulled out of the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty because it said the pact no longer served U.S. interests. Tit for Tat.

A key provision of the CFE Treaty was that signatories were committed to engaging in regular exchanges of information about troop movements and submitting to challenge inspections from other treaty participants .

Whilst the Latvians and Estonians got a bit nervous, political and military analysts said major redeployments were unlikely and pooh poohed any ideas of lessening security. The suspension, they said, was both a symbolic expression of Russian anger over missile defense and a demonstration that the country has returned as an assertive power that must be reckoned with.

This was just after President Bush invited President Vladimir Putin and his missus to the summer home of Bush's parents in Kennebunkport, Maine and he looked deep into the soul of Putin..

It was popular move back home however ..."Russia can't just twiddle its thumbs when it sees the Americans taking root in the Baltic and Caucasus countries and strengthening their positions in East European countries," said Gennady Zyuganov, the leader of the Communist Party (pic).

Russia said it would end the inspection of its military installations by NATO countries after a formal notification period of 150 days - roughly Christmas Day.

So no-one really knew that there was a build up of Russian armour on Georgia's borders ...and they say down at the Dog and Duck that the surveillance was all turned towards, Afghanistan, Waziristan, Baluchistan, Iraq and Iran.

They do say in the Saloon bar that war is like decorating. Good preparation is vital.

Randy Scheunemann, McCain's Foreign Policy advisor was paid lobbyist for Georgia unti March 08

Robert Scheer is author of a new book, “The Pornography of Power: How Defense Hawks Hijacked 9/11 and Weakened America.” he has a nice article at Common Dreams.

Randy Scheunemann, was a director of the Project for a New American Century (whose website has been taken down) . For 4 years until March he was also a paid lobbyist for the Georgian government - sometime after he had become John McCain’s senior foreign policy adviser. see our post Wednesday, April 23, 2008 Randy Scheunemann - McCain's pit bull / carer
It was Scheunemann who, after working on the McCain 2000 presidential campaign, headed the Committee for the Liberation of Iraq, which championed the U.S. invasion of Iraq.

In 2005, while registered as a paid lobbyist for Georgia, Scheunemann worked with McCain to draft a congressional resolution pushing for Georgia’s membership in NATO. Still on the Georgian payroll a year later , Scheunemann took McCain on a jaunt to Georgia to met Saakashvili , no doubt giving some support to his bellicose taunts on Tsar Vladimir Putin.

On Feb 8th this year McCain didn' t speak but issued a statement at the Munich Security Conference "Georgia and Ukraine have expressed their desire for a NATO Membership Action Plan. We should offer it to them at the summit. These two nations have every right to aspire to democracy and security as other states closer to the heart of Europe. Ukraine and Georgia have difficult neighbors and domestic challenges; they are young democracies and their road ahead will be difficult. But they should know that we will support them every step of the way, and we can show them this by supporting their aspirations at Bucharest.(20th NATO Summit 2-4th April 2008) "

Fast forward to the events over the weekend ....

"Russia should immediately and unconditionally cease its military operations and withdraw all forces from sovereign Georgian territory," said the ageing candidate in Iowa on Thursday.

On Tuesday this week he was getting sharper "We've seen this movie before in Prague and Budapest," McCain said on Fox News. "And I'm not saying we are reigniting the Cold War, but, this is an act of aggression in which we didn't think we'd see in the 21st century. "

This is the 3 am moment writ large, and in real life Big John can talk big and simultaneously emphasize Senator Obama's lack of experience dealing with foreign affairs.

"Sen. McCain has talked for years about the dangers of Russian policies in the way they conduct themselves and undermine the sovereignty of their neighbors," said Randy Scheunemann - paid friend of the President of this beleaguered little country said on Tuesday.

In a fancy little twist someone has noted that yesterday Big John was talking reflectively about this ancient country describing Georgia as “one of the world’s first nations to adopt Christianity as an official religion.” The Wiki page describes Georgia as “one of the first countries in the world to adopt Christianity as an official religion.” ...there are other examples as well.

Readers might remember we posted Tuesday, December 18, 2007 about Vani - The Golden Land of Colchis and the Washington exhibition Wine, Worship and Sacrifice: The Golden Graves of Ancient Vani," on view Dec. 1 through Feb. 24, 2008 at the Arthur M. Sackler Gallery, presents spectacular gold, silver, ceramic vessels, jewelry, Greek bronze sculpture, Greek and Colchian coins, and Greek glassware. Together these objects provide a rich and informative view of the ancient land of Colchis and its principal sanctuary city, Vani, a town in the Imereti region of western Georgia.

So fine was this that the US Ambassador had got involved.and you could read about the exhibition and also ... this fascinatingly prophetic piece that we printed at the time.


How ..."One of the priority tasks of Georgia's foreign and security policy is a full integration into the Euro-Atlantic community, which will enable our country not only to insure its security but also to contribute its own share to strengthening of peace and stability in the world. We keep right on target for democratic development and are willing to assist other countries too in the democratization processes, to which the establishment of peace and stability is one of the essential prerequisites.

Of great importance, in this context, is the participation of Georgia's armed forces in international peace operations. Since 1999 Georgian peacekeepers have been engaged actively in an effort to protect peace and stability in various regions of the world, within NATO-led and Anti-terrorist Coalition’s operations.

With this involvement in international peace operations, Georgian military units get the benefit of experience in interacting with the NATO member and partner states, which brings them in a closer alignment with the standards applying in the NATO member states.

The first peace operation Georgia was involved in was the NATO-led operation in Kosovo (KFOR)."

Naturally now that nasty old Mr Putin has shoved up the price of gas they are keen to display their anti-communist values and Washington is delighted to help in any way ...
Wonderful thing diplomacy. (We said at the time)

Some folks say this little excursion into the Georgian countryside came out of the blue.

Mervyn King is still in his job - but no Mr NICE guy this time

This is what Lord King Chairman of the Bank of England said in his annual speech to the great and the good of the City of London at the Mansion House just over one year ago on the 16th June 2007...

"Our central view remains that inflation will fall back this year as the rises in domestic gas and electricity prices last year drop out of the annual comparison, and the recent cuts in prices feed through to household bills."
Yesterday a year later he was full of doom and gloom in a short speech which failed to mention the total failure of the much vaunted triumvirate of the BOE/FSA and the Treasury to forecast anything ... the exposure of the bankers Balance sheets - more foctional than a Booker Prize winner, the fall of the House of Applegarth, the massive rise in commodity prices, food prices ...


"What we have seen in the past year or so is the culmination of a very large rise in energy and commodity prices..."

"Attention is now turning away from liquidity ... questions of funding and viability of an institution's business plan. For some institutions, that means they are over the worst and for other perhaps not. But I think we have certainly moved some long way down the road." WTF ?

He left it to his Deputy Governor Charles Bean to really piss on everyone's parade ...

"It is plausible to expect the underlying rate of growth of potential to be somewhat lower over the next few years and we have in fact made that assumption in the projections we have published today."

These wankers couldn't tell you when the next bus is due, even if you provided them with a timetable.

They don't even atempt to explain why they got it so wrong last year. This was their May 2007 projection for CPI.



Their core projection for CPI was over 100% wrong !

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Israeli company Teva to acquire US company Barr to take global lead in generic drugs supply


We posted about American generic manufacturer IVAX being taken over by Teva, Israel's biggest in April 2006. This made Teva the worlds biggest generic company with combined sales to the US market of 330 drugs and sales of US$7 Bn - of which US$1.2 Mn is MS treatment Copaxone - (Glatiramer Acetate ) The first innovative drug to be developed in Israel (at the Weizmann Institute of Science ) and to receive FDA approval, . The US HQ is in Kansas City.

Teva is now to acquire Barr of the US in a $7.5bn deal that will sharply reinforce its position as the largest seller of off-patent medicines. Teva closed at at $45.80 - a dividend yield of 1%.

The agreed takeover, at an agreed 32% premium to the US company's average share price over the past year, will create a group with US$12bn in annual sales, 500 marketed products and more than 200 applications for new drugs filed with US regulators alone. The combined company would be a generic powerhouse employing about 37,000 people globally and operating directly in more than 60 countries.

Teva had a knock-back when clinical trials failed to show a significant benefit for a new dosage of Copaxone, that accounts for one-third of profits and which will be subject to growing competitive pressure in the next few years.

This follow other generic deals recently, with Daiichi-Sankyo of Japan offering up to US $4.6bn for Ranbaxy of India. Fresenius of Germany bidding US$3.7bn for APP of the US - see post Wednesday, July 09, 2008 Heparin -another chapter in the tale APP taken over by Fresenius - Patrick Soon Shong trousers US$3 Billion .

Sanofi-Aventis of France is also tendering US $1.9bn for Czech-based Zentiva although they have rejected the bid as far too low - Bid Fails to Reflect the Company’s Underlying Value and Future Prospects . They have a major position in Czech, Turkish, Romanian and Slovak markets .

Shlomo Yanai, CEO at Teva for less than 18 months ago,sees this as another step in a 5 year plan for Teva double sales by 2012 with a net margin of at least 20 %. Buying Barr would also boost Teva's generic franchise in Central and Eastern Europe as well as Italy and Spain. Barr jumped into the international market when it acquired Croatia's Pliva based in Zagreb in 2006.

For each Barr share, investors will receive US$39.90 in cash and 0.6272 Teva American Depositary Receipts, and Teva will assume $1.5bn of net debt. If the Barr board reject the deal Lehman Bros have negotiated a US$200 Mn break fee .

Teva Q1 Profits shine

On July 29th Teva revaled Q1 figures - Revenue of US$2.823 billion, up 18%, and EPS of 65 cents was ahead of expectations. Teva, saw Europe, 30% of sales, rise 25%, while sales Latin America and other parts of the developing world, were up 37%. Sales in the US rose 12%.

The company attributed a large part of the sales growth to generics in Europe.

The company say the R&D budget from 5.7% to 7% of sales, for improved development of generic drugs. Full year forecast EPS are $2.69 to $2.75.

Hacked Oyster cards to form basis of nationwide transport electronic systems says Channel 4 - seamlessly dovetailing ...

Channel 4 News tonight discovered that the Oyster card can be hacked .. and that other local transport systems in Yorkshire and Lancashire are planning to to use cards using the Mifare chip.

What is the betting that for "addedsecurity" these systems will involve lengthy, detailed peronals identification of the users , with photographs, maybe a fingerprint.. etc., a nationwide system "seamlessly dovetailing....
1. "Helping" to establish users identity,
2. Users place of permanent abode,
3. Maybe their employment details, banking details - "so much easier with a Direct Debit Sir",
4. A fingerprint
5. Definitely a photograph - don't want someone else to "accidently" use your card do we sir if it gets mislaid ?
6. Blood Group ? Just a little prick sir as we take a sample to check - in case of an accident, you understand....
7. Seamless dovetailing using Oyster's functionality with all sorts of other seamless, silent and secret systems ....

Mogadishu - street bombs as Somali Governemnt is in disarray - Transport plane with tons of quat on board crashes on landing approach today.


Nur al Cubicle (Wednesday, August 13, 2008 - Our Ally Ethiopia, the War Criminal) brings us a report from Corriere della Sera reporter Massimo Alberizzi in Mogadishu.


Massimo is a well known journo on the Eritrea beat and has been advising the UN Security Council into the investigation of arms trafficking of arms in the Horn of Africa.

He was kidnapped by the Islamic Courts in December 2006 but was released after 2 days .Good article in Corriere translated into English by Giles Watson about the kidnap racket in Somalia by
him. "Ten thousand dollars gets you a phone call from the hostages and 100,000 dollars buys a photo taken by the abductors. A million dollars – about 600,000 euros – will free them. Everyone is peddling information, none of it certain."


On Sunday morning 3rd August at 8:30 terrorists struck a group of 30 women hired to remove the garbage from the main avenue, Maka Al Mukarama, near the Hotel Ambassador. Yussuf Hannan, a stringer for the Corriere della Sera, ran to the scene ""It was horrible. At least 25 women [mothers] between the ages of 29 and 40 were torn to pieces by the blast,"

Maka Al Mukarama, has been heavily guarded because the US intelligence people are billeted in the Hotel Ambasador - which heavily guarded by Ethiopian forces who were probably the target for the bomb.

By collecting the rubbish the women are actually being employed effectively as human minesweepers - the women were employed as part of an NGO project sponsored by ADRA (Adventist Development and Relief Agency (ADRA) International - based in Silver Spring, Maryland, USA) that provides food (wheat and oil) for cleaning the trash mointains that have grown for 15 years and can easily be used to camouflage bombs.

Voice of America (VOA) say that witnesses counted 15 bodies at the scene, while five other people died after being taken to Mogadishu's Medina Hospital. More than 40 others were injured.

Nobody has claimed responsibility for the bomb which was placed between Ambassador hotel and the Haji Pasto Garage in the southern part of the city where most Ethiopian soldiers are stationed.

Dr. Dahir Mhoamoud Mohamed, deputy director of Medina Hospital said ,'We have admitted so far 50 shrapnel-wounded people, mostly old aged women and children." 5 were dead and the rest suffered seriously injured.

Apparently there was a similar incident last year when five women municipal street sweepers were killed in a blast in the southern part of Mogadishu by a bomb hidden in a pile of garbage.

In a separate incident, Islamist insurgents attacked Ethiopian forces in Mogadishu's Towfiq neighborhood early today. Witnesses say at least three soldiers were killed.

Ethiopian troops are supporting the Somali transitional government in its fight against the Islamist insurgency. There is however much jockeying for power and the deadly bomb attack came as the political crisis in Somalia deepened over the weekend with 11 ministers of the transitional federal government resigning in protest against Prime Minister, Nur Hassan Hussein for sacking mayor Habeeb without consulting the cabinet. VOA

The visit therefore of ex mayor Mohamed Omar Habeeb to the hospital to visit the victims was of some significance - he said that those behind the bomb were enemies of peace. No shit Sherlock.

Twin Turbo Prop AT 72-500 with cargo of quat from Kenya crashes into radio antenna on approach at Mogadishu (12 hours ago)

A Fly 540 (49% ownd by Lonrho) ATR 72-500 plane yesterday crashed near Mogadishu Airport, Somalia. The Italian / French Fokker ATR 72-500 is certified to operate on unpaved runways through installation of a kit to ensure landing gear and lower fuselage protection.can carry up to 74 passengers in a four abreast, centre-aisle configuration. The standard configuration includes two cargo compartments.

The flight had three crew members on board when it went down in the morning - now reported dead. The airplane was seen approaching the airport, 50km from Mogadishu, twice and going around before colliding with a telecommunication antenna owned by "Nationlink Telecom" about 2km from the airport, airport officials reported. A lot of humidity was around the airport, impairing visibility.

Airstrip K50: Coordinates: N 01°59'55.62" E44°58'53.04 - see Google Earth.

The aircraft was carrying 5.4 tonnes of khat, from Jomo Kenyatta Airport, Nairobi, local police reported.

Previous crash of this type ..

On August 6, 2005, a Tuninter ATR 72 en route from Bari, Italy, to Djerba, Tunisia, ditched into the Mediterranean Sea about 18 miles from the city of Palermo. Sixteen of the 39 people on board died. This was thought to be due to fuel starvation - due perhaps to installing the wrong fuel indicators.

One ponders that even in this most desperate war, someone somewhere is organising the trade in quat - 5.4 tonnes which must be (say) 16 pallets. Distribution is urgent because the halucinogenic properties of the drug die off after 36 - 48 hours. Street price in Manchester is about £8 for 1/2 kilo which is a days supply.

Quat (qat, kwat) is not on the list of substances controlled under the Misuse of Drugs Act 1971 in the UK, but it is illegal in many countries including most European nations and the US. Meanhwile beggars are in the streets and women are paid in oil and wheat to clean the steets and act as "minesweepers".

Learn more about quat here its use in the UK and possible connection with the 21/7 London Transport bombers.

.. and finally Nur gets angry ..."In any case, the US-sponsored Ethiopian occupation of Somalia is going to hell. I have no kind words for Jendayi Frazer, the U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, who was the No. 1 cheerleader for this bloody mess. I hope her career will forever bear this stain.

Jendayi was personally selected for her post by Condi Rice , who has had to interrupt her holidays to worry her tiny little head about Georgia. Mr Mugabe doesn't like Jandayi either , after he wasn't voted in on the first round of the elections in Zim , and she publicly criticised him , he said ..."You saw that little American girl [Frazer] trotting around the globe like a prostitute..." CNN Mugabe labels U.S. diplomat a 'prostitute'

British Energy - production, margins, profits, down.

British Energy have produced disastrous Q1 08/09 results today - which must have affected EDF's disinterest in moving ahead on a take over - although ever optimistic CEO Bob Coley does say, "Advanced discussions continue in connection with a potential offer " and in a BBC "Today" interview this morning claims they are "uniquely" placed for the new build as they own suitable sites for Gordon's nuclear "renaissance".

He also said that it would be at least 3 years before the planning process for building could start.

Electricity output down 26%

Electricity output from the nuclear stations was down 26% from 13 Tw last year to 9.5 Tw this year , total output only dropped to 11.4 Tw from 13.0 Tw as the Eggborough coal fired plant doubled production (using very expensive imported coal) from 0.8Tw to 1.9 Tw hrs - a drop of 18% . Total output in Q1 07/08 was 14TWh which had dropped 18% from 17TWh in Q1 06/07. This suggests Total output this year will be probably 46Tw a drop of 12 Tw (22%) from Last year

Earnings per share will be more than halved this year

The result of this reduced output and increased costs is largely due to the Boiler Closure Unit (BCU) outages at Hartlepool and Heysham 1 , Profits adjusted EBITDA is £129m, down from £253m from Q1 07/08 . To put this in context Adjusted EBITDA was £1,221 Mn in FY 06/07 and was cut (-28%) to £882 Mn in FY 2006/07 - so they will be lucky if it remains in the range £450-500 Mn this year.

When this is taken down to Adjusted Earnings per share it turns out at 2.9p for Q1 this year and 8.9p last year. Total Annual Adjusted Earnings per share were 48.2 p in FY 06/07 and 29.6 p in FY 07/08 - so they will be lucky if it remains in the range of 10p per share this year.

Operating margins more than halved

The sales of energy showed ;
1. Realised price was £45.7/MWh for the period, up £4.9/MWh (12%) from £40.8/MWh in the comparable period
2. Unit operating cost increased to £39.6/MWh for the period up £12.72 (47%) from £27.0/MWh in the comparable period
3. Operating margin decreased to £6.1/MWh from £13.8/MWh in the comparable period a drop of 56%

Going forward, Contracts are in place are 42.2TWh at an average price of £47/MWh £32/MWh. The capped contracts are for delivery of approximately 5TWh per annum up to March 2011

In addition, contracts are in place for approximately 33.3TWh £42/MWh excluding the impact of capped price contracts at around £33/MWh

So there is little prospect that the average realised price of £45.7 /MWh is going to rise much, and there is little prospect that in this financial year that nuclear production will be above 38Tw + coal fired 7.5Tw = 45.5 Tw compared with 58.4 Tw in both the last 2 financial years. In the last two Financial years the average realised price was £40.7/MWh in 07/08 and had dropped 7% from £ 44.2 / MWh in 06/07. So the selling pricetoday is only 3.2% up on 27 months ago. aperiod when retail sales prices have more than doubled.


BE currently have stocks and contracts in place which provide nearly 100% coverage of anticipated requirements until 31 March 2011. The current market price of uranium has increased significantly from the level at which we entered into these existing fuel agreements.

Existing stocks and contracts provide a fuel cost advantage of approximately £115m per annum, based on nuclear output for the financial year 2008/09. It is anticipated that this fuel cost advantage will gradually reduce between the financial years ending 31 March 2012 and 31 March 2017. Shrewd buying or our old pal serendipity ?

With current levels of building there is little doubt that uranium demand will not decrease significantly - and new sources donot appear to be being discovered.


BCU project costs at Heysham and Hartlepool have soared 130% in 6 months

Total project costs at Hartlepool and Heysham in financial year 2008/09 now expected to be around £115m (up from £50m), driven by increased costs for inspections and increased costs of design, fabrication and installation of modifications.

"The cost of the remedial engineering work is not expected to exceed
£50Mn,incurred in financial year 2008/09."

See BE website statement Hartlepool and Heysham 1 Boiler Closure Unit (‘BCU’) update 18th January 2008 - so 8 months later costs have risen 130% and work hasn't been finished - more costs lurking ?

Regulatory approval to commence installation of circumferential bands at Heysham and Hartlepool is expected within the next few days. More than 1,200,000 man hours have been spent on the project to date which is on track to deliver return to service in the third quarter of this financial year. The faults in the BCU were discovered in October / November 2007.

Make of this waht you will..." In the event of any additional slippage in return to service timing, incremental costs may be expected to arise." ... from wher we are sat it looks like forewarning and arse covering ofexpected slippage and cost increases.... we did warn you etc.,

Some good news - Hinkley and Hunterston due for restart after planned outages

Hinkley Point B Reactor 3 returned to service following successful planned inspection outage. The Hunterston B Reactor 4 restart process has been initiated. Both these plants have been given Five year plant life extensions to 2016 - their planned closure was 2011 when constructed .

Conclusion

It is increasingly evident that British Energy prospects for the next 12 - 24 months are going to be increasingly unprofitaable. No explanation has been provided for the Sizewell outage that ocurred and led to blackouts in the South East.

On any rational view the company will struggle to produce both electricity and profits so EDF are being asked to buy the company just for the "unique" and "pivotal" position they have for opening new nuclear plant.

Such advantages are not unique and at £12Bn are extraordinarily costly.
See Annual report FY 07/08
Q1 report 08/09 published today online



Tamerlane takes a tumble

There is a first rate analysis and authoritative account of events in Georgia / South Ossetia / Abkhazia over the last few days at Moon of Alabam - War Nerdism also try War Nerd for a slightly more jocular approach to genocide.

2 fascinating items - see pic.

U.S. to fly supplies into war-torn Georgia
By Michael Hoffman - Staff writerPosted : Tuesday Aug 12, 2008 18:50:29 EDT Air Force Times

Air Force officials are putting plans together to fly supplies into Georgia (?) following Russian President Dmitri Medvedev’s order to end all military operations in the former Soviet state.

Air Force C-17s flew all of Georgia’s 2,000 troops deployed in Iraq to the Georgian capital, Tbilisi, on Sunday and Monday after the Georgian government recalled the troops and asked the U.S. to do so.

Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin criticized the U.S. for flying Georgia’s troops home from Iraq while Russia’s troops advanced into the country after fighting broke out over the disputed regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia.

“It’s a pity that some of our partners, instead of helping, are in fact trying to get in the way,” said Putin at a Russian Cabinet meeting. “I mean, among other things, the United States airlifting Georgia’s military contingent from Iraq effectively into the conflict zone.”

Which, like the Israeli military advice / supplies and recent NATO exercises somehow seems to have eluded the newsdesks in the UK Press / TV. Tamurlane ?

Click to enlarge ..


Airstrip No 3

UPDATE : Lord Patel’s Kyrgyzstan correspondent counted no less than 14 large US Air Force C-17's at Manas International Airport two days ago, but was prevented from taking pics by the presence of several burly police officers. No evident activity , and no US soldiers to be seen on the streets of Bishkek.

Prince Charles - breeding programmes - "an experiment that's gone seriously wrong, causing untold problems which are expensive and difficult to undo"


DT

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Bank of England warns "There's NOTHING we can do ...er .... right ....." Part 2

As a public service on the monthly anniversary, we are happy to re-post this post which first appeared just a month ago. Happily coinciding with the announcement that Consumer prices rose 4.4 percent from a year earlier, breaching the government's 3% upper limit for a third month and the most since comparable records began in 1997(The 0.6 % increase is the largest jump since the series began in 1997. Based on a constructed index using retail-price data, it was the largest gain since 1991, the ONS said), the Office for National Statistics said today. That exceeds the 4.2 % median forecast of 38 economists in a Bloomberg News survey.

This means of course that miserable Mervyn will have to pop his 3rd third letter of explanation to the government in the Post Office (assuming he can find one still open) - that is unless inflation slows to 3 % in August - which about as unlikely as Northern Wreck turning a profit this side of Armageddon.

Anway here is last month's cheery tale of rank incompetence, woe, grief and downright misery.



This is what Lord King Chairman of the Bank of England said in his annual speech to the great and the good of the City of London at the Mansion House just over one year ago on the 16th June 2007...

"Our central view remains that inflation will fall back this year as the rises in domestic gas and electricity prices last year drop out of the annual comparison, and the recent cuts in prices feed through to household bills."

PS : Mervyn has a pension pot of £4.8million, which should be worth nearly £180,000 a year on retirement...which cannot come too soon.

Magic Footprints my arse - How can global TV mislead 4 Billion people ?


Lord Patel apologises. On the 9th August we posted Paleontological TV - Neanderthals of the networks edit history whilst it is made elsewhere -"billions at stake" .. in which we poked fun at the gigantic swindle, that NBC in the US had conveniently time shifted the Olympic opening to maximise ad revenues.

Lord Patel's old pal in Psyops , Zhang Yomou now tells me that the whole ceremony was all a completely contrived computer generated spoof.

Hong Kong Phoooooey !!

2 Israeli defence firms say they left Georgia before fighting - who is Davit Kezerashvili ?


More information has become available since we posted Monday, August 11, 2008 Israel's part in arming Georgia, and the risky game of Russian Roulette they have been playing

Ex-envoy: Georgia modelled its army after IDF ynet

"Georgian government officials used to tell me that they wanted to model their army after the IDF," former Israeli ambassador to Georgia Shabtai Zur told Ynet Sunday evening amid the country's bloody feud with Russia over the separatist region of South Ossetia.

Travel Advisory Issued for Georgia, Jews Being Evacuated
Yeshiva world News 10th August 2008

Assisting in closing defense packages with Israel is Georgia’s Defense Minister, Davit Kezerashvili, (დავით კეზერაშვილი)a fluent Hebrew-speaker and former Israeli. ( and a close personal ally of the party's leader, Georgian President Saakashvili) See this extreme but well informed blog - Georgian Defense Minister, Davit Kezerashvili, is a Zionist Jew



Also - "His door was always open to the Israelis who came and offered his country arms systems made in Israel," the source said. "Compared to countries in Eastern Europe, the deals in this country were conducted fast, mainly due to the defense minister's personal involvement."

Deals were made for items including anti-aircraft and communications systems, as well as turrets for armored vehicles and communications systems. One of the people who profited from such arrangements is Roni Milo, a former Public Security Minister who represented Elbit.

Gal Hirsch, a former IDF brigadier-general, one of the senior officers compelled to step down following the Second Lebanon War, also provided tactical training, working with Georgian military officials to establish commando units mimicking Israel’s Sayeret Matkal.

He is a partner in a firm called Defensive Shield.

There is also 61-year-old former IDF Major-General Yisrael Ziv, who heads a security consulting firm.

2 Israeli firms say they left Georgia before fighting Haaretz Tuesday 12th August 2008

Two Israeli security companies, Defensive Shield and Global CST, announced yesterday that they had completed their projects in Georgia before fighting between that country and Russia broke out on Friday. The two are among several Israeli companies advising Georgia on security
matters, training its army and occasionally supplying it with weapons.

Defensive Shield, owned by Brig. Gen. (res.) Gal Hirsch, said all its employees, including its subcontractors, are no longer in Georgia. It said it completed the work it had been contracted to do, and that all its contracts with Georgia had been approved by Israel's Defense Ministry. Security systems services company Global CST, managed by Maj. Gen. (res.) Israel Ziv, said it finished its work in Georgia at the end of July.

A retired senior Israeli officer who recently trained troops in Georgia said yesterday he was surprised that the Georgians faced off against Russia, since they have a much smaller army. "They got into an adventure that I wouldn't have chosen to get into, based on the level of professionalism I saw in my visits to the Georgian army," the officer said. "Who knows where this will end." "This is an army that was in the process of disintegrating over 15 or 16 years," the officer added. "This process required reconstruction, and that's where the Israelis entered the picture, along with companies from other countries.

verything was very, very basic. We dealt mainly with basic training for the units. It will take a long time until the military forces there will advance to a high professional level.

The Georgian army cannot under any circumstances be a serious rival to the Russians at present." The officer also stressed the difference in military might: "Georgia is a small country, with barely 4.5 million people," he said. "They have a small army - to be honest, not much different from that of a Third World country.

" The Georgians began reorganizing their army in 2002, with American assistance. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s, the Georgian army has primarily been comprised of remnants of Red Army units.

Bombing civlians from the air is addictive ... once you start you can't stop


As EU,US,NATO top Brass scramble to shout at Mr Putin and Mr Dmitry Medvedev for having the chutzpah to bomb civilians in another country's sovereign territory - coalition aircraft flew 47 close-air-support missions for Operation Iraqi Freedom.

In Afghanistan a total of 60 close-air-support missions were flown as part of the ISAF and Afghan security forces, reconstruction activities and route patrols. In following Air Link Daily reports for a long time this looks like a record daily number of missions.

For example a B-1B Lancer dropped a GBU-31 1,000 lb bomb onto enemy militants near Qalat. A JTAC declared the mission successful.

Under the banners of Iraqi Freedom, Air Force F-16 Fighting Falcons dropped GBU-12s and 38s onto House-Borne improvised explosive devices near Khan Bani Sad. The mission was declared successful by a JTAC.

Near Samarra, a Navy F/A-18A Hornet dropped a GBU-51 onto a building with enemy combatants. A JTAC confirmed the mission successful, etc., etc.,

" ...the balance of power in Europe has fundamentally changed and Russia has, through the use of force against Georgia, seized the power to veto Nato's future membership. " says David Blair, Diplomatic Editor in todays Daily Telegraph

Marine Wave Energy electricity generation - a painfully slow development - in which the Scots have a lead


The expenditure of more money and effort has resulted in some real marine wave power electricity generating systems being built and trials completed. Some projects now hover on the edge of commercial development. A background article produced by the expensively Government funded Carbon Trust provide a very simple explanation of some of the principles and design features invloved and can be found here.

The Aguçadoura project off the coast of northern Portugal, a 250-350-kilometer (150-220 mile) stretch of coast has been identified as a suitable location for wave-energy exploitation .As a consequence Portugal has established its role as a pioneer in such systems and the Instituto Superior Técnico has been studying the technology since 1977.

We posted about the Scottish designed and manufactured system - Thursday, June 09, 2005
First Commercial Wave farm for Portugal Ocean Power Delivery (OPD) were conrtracted to build the wave farm about five kilometers (3.1 miles) off Portugal's northern coast, near Povoa de Varzim, OPD's Norwegian backer Norsk Hydro said.

Portuguese Enersis SGPS, part of the Semapa Corporation, is one of Portugal’s leading renewable energy companies with 100MW of mini hydro, 500MW of wind farms under operation/construction and a further 500MW under development had initiated the project.

They were to install three wave power generation units with capacity of 2.25 Mw for 8 million euros ($10.12 million), but the project could be expanded significantly.

OPD's Pelamis P-750 wage energy converter is an elongated metal unit that looks like a big semi-submerged sausage, with hinged segments that rock with the sea, up and down and side to side, pumping fluid to hydraulic motors that drive generators.

Based in Edinburgh, Scotland, OPD (www.oceanpd.com) has been developing the Pelamis technology for the past 7 years. They have been supported by the UK DTI (now BERR) and its investors including Norsk Hydro Technology Ventures, Sustainable Asset Management, the Carbon Trust and 3i plc, the prototype for the Portuguese machines was launched in February 2004 and was under initial tests at the European Marine Energy Centre, Orkney, Scotland

The deal with Enersis included a letter of intent for a further 30 Palamis wave machines for a total of 20 megawatts before the end of 2006, subject to satisfactory performance by the initial installation, Hydro said. This says the company is "world’s first, multi-unit, wave farm and also the first commercial order for wave energy converters"

Anyway after some alarums and excursions, Enersis and ODP, now called Pelamis Wave Power (PWP) ,completed initial deployment of a 750-kW PWP wave-power unit, in August 2008, that generated electricity for the Portuguese grid.

The unit initially encountered difficulties with buoyancy, this required a return to habour for repairs - resulting in the designers putting a brave face on it saying "that it has since been disconnected to prove it can be returned to harbor for inspection of the component parts. "Everything is in very good order."

The Aguçadoura project partners are looking to have the three 750-kW machines ready by September 2008. The Portuguese government is supporting the project by a feed-in tariff provided specifically for marine energy of about €0.23/kWh (US36¢/kWh), according to PWP's Web site.

Whilst wwait for some commercial results other companies are eyeing up Portugal including developers Tecdragon, EDP and Eneólica. The Portuguese steel construction giant Martifer has created a joint marine-energy venture with Scottish Briggs, while Generg conducts research and planning for a wave energy plant.

EDP, Portugal's largest power utility, is in the final stages of talks to install wave energy demonstration after looking at 50 different design. Now, final site selection has begun on the Breakwave, a system financed with €2.4 Mn. of European Union funds that exploits oscillating water column technology. This will have 3 turbines and two generators one of 500kW and one 250kW and the total cost is €2.4 Mn.

A more advance technique is More advanced is Tecdragon, which they aim to install in Portugal's São Pedro de Moel pilot zone the first world's 7-MW wave-energy plant. But, Tecdragon Manager Borges da Cunha explains "Until now the start of installation was not possible due to adverse meteorological conditions." Another delay which seems to be a familiar problem with wave energy systems.

The system is based on what they call Wave Dragon technology, which the company describes as a "floating, slack-moored energy converter" that meshes current offshore and hydropower turbine technology.

They claim Wave Dragon, is the only wave energy converter being developed that can be freely scaled up. Extravagant claims of future performance are another feature of wave technology companies. It has been developed with funding support from the European Union, the Welsh Development Agency, the Danish Energy Authority and the Danish Utilities PSO Programme.

So far, a 1:4.5 scale prototype launched in 2003 was the world’s first offshore grid-connected wave energy conversion device. Deployed off the coast of Denmark at Nissum Bredning, this test unit accumulated over 20,000 (there are 8,700 in a year) hours of experience supplying electricity to domestic homes.

Another demonstration unit with a capacity of 7 MW, this unit will be built at Pembroke Dock, Wales. This will eventually be located two to three miles off St Ann’s Head and tested for three to five years only, in order to gain operational experience and knowledge of energy transfer efficiencies. This is supposed to be operating this summer.

The Wave Dragon produces energy in almost exactly the same way as a low-head hydro power station.

The Unit is a slack (ie can move fairly freely) tethered floating barge which faces its outstretched collector arms towards the oncoming waves. These concentrate 300 metres of wave front towards 140 metres of ramp at the front of the structure.

Focussing the waves increases the wave height at the ramp, which in turn acts like a beach and causes the waves to break over its top and into the reservoir behind it. (see pic By this action the water is elevated and given potential energy, runs through the turbines and generates electricity.

The Scottish Nation take a leap

The UK wave power sector took a surprise turn on July 30 when Jim Mather, minister of enterprise and energy for the Scottish regional government, commissioned a 100-kw Wavegen turbine. Wavegen is a wholly owned company of Voith Siemens Hydro Power Generation. Press release. BBC report with video of Islay LIMPET project.

Scotland is said to offer developers some of the world's best wave-power levels and has already seen the demise of one expensive project.

The 100-kW turbine is "a major step forward," the Scottish government said, for the Siadar Wave Energy Project (SWEP) . The SWEP is based upon the Oscillating Water Column (OWC) principle and is being developed by Npower Renewables (who say this is an "exciting" scheme) , RWE Innogy's UK operating company, on the Scottish Isle of Lewis.

This project will receive support (amount is confidential) from the Scottish Government’s WATES (Wave and Tidal Energy Support) scheme.

Npower Renewables submitted planning applications in April for SWEP, which would generate up to 4 MW using 40 Wavegen 100-kW turbines.

If the Scottish government approves the plans, construction could start as early as 2009 . The project could generate up to 50 construction jobs for local people and would take 18 months to complete said Mr Mather.

The Dutch company Tocardo has confirmed it isplanning to build a tidal energy plant in the Pentland Firth. BBC

The Pentland Firth is a stretch of open water about 20 miles wide between the Caithness coast and the Orkney Islands. It is arguably one of the best concentrated tidal resources on earth. Estimates of the energy potential in this few square kilometres range from 2GW to 8GW.

An objective has been set by public sector agencies and the Scottish Government to harness 1300MW of tidal energy in the Pentland Firth by 2020.

The Highlands and Islands Energy Board (HIE) is working closely with the Pentland Firth Tidal Energy Board to capitalize on the tremendous marine energy opportunities in the area.

The European Marine Energy Centre (EMEC) in Orkney, is (they say) a key infrastructure that "provides a ground breaking contribution to advancing the marine energy industry in Scotland."

EMEC was established at a cost of approximately £15 million, funded by HIE, the Scottish Government, Department of Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform, the Carbon Trust, Scottish Enterprise and Orkney Islands Council.

The wave and tidal test centres are now well established and the first tidal device was generating electricity for the grid by the end of May 2008.

AWS Ocean Energy based in Alness, Ross-shire established in 2004 , is also using the local seas to develop and test its revolutionary utility-scale Archimedes Wave Swing technology. The company is another developer awarded funding through the Scottish Government's Wave and Tidal Energy Support Scheme, and is aiming to deploy a prototype device at EMEC in 2009.Their award winning Archimedes Waveswing™ is also an "exciting technology" ...clean renewable energy ... global energy needs .. er ... a sustainable basis.

They say they will deploy a 250kW demonstrator in 2009 with commercial roll-out to follow by 2011.

Archimedes Waveswing™ is wave energy converter. They explain that this is a cylinder shaped buoy, moored to the seabed. Passing waves move an air-filled upper casing against a lower fixed cylinder, with up and down movement converted into electricity.

As a wave crest approaches, the water pressure on the top of the cylinder increases and the upper part or 'floater' compresses the gas within the cylinder to balance the pressures.

The reverse happens as the wave trough passes and the cylinder expands. The relative movement between the floater and the lower part or silo is converted to electricity by means of a hydraulic system and motor-generator set.

Their investors include Rab Capital PLC www.rabcap.com .
Isleburn Group www.isleburn-mm.com Isleburn are a medium sized engineering, fabrication and construction group with considerable experience in offshore engineering and will assemble the AWS units.
Tersus Energy PLC www.tersusenergy.com Tersus is a clean energy investment company quoted on Aim in London and is focused upon the renewable energy and energy efficiency sectors.
STV Fund , managed by Kenda Capital B.V., selectively focuses on renewable energy technologies that show significant promise of delivering cost-competitive energy, they possess a solid energy sector expertise, fostered through its technology relationship with the Shell Group. Terry Rhodes is a Non-executive Director and is also Head of Offshore Structures at Shell Exploration and Production UK Ltd.
The Tudor Group , which consists of Tudor Investment Corporation are money jugglers.

Scotland's First Minister Alex Salmond announced plans for the world's largest wave farm when he opened EMEC in September 2007. This project is being led by CRE Ltd and will consist of 4r 750kW Pelamis devices off the coast of Orkney. It is hoped that this farm will be operational in summer 2009... which seems highyl unlikely considering the delays and problems Pelamis have experienced in Portugal at Aguçadoura.

Monday, August 11, 2008

Critical National Infrastructure Police - more fucking Plods - just what we need in a time of crisis

Spy blog busily and astutely watching them watching us, alerts us to a curiously (leaked ? placed ?) article in the Mail on Sunday by Jason Lewis

Anti-terror patrols secretly stepped up at power stations

Massive expansion of the Civil Nuclear Constabulary is being secretly planned to protect Britain's most vulnerable terrorist targets.

The Mail on Sunday has learned that it will be transformed into the Critical National Infrastructure Police and mount armed patrols around all key installations nationwide, including power stations, phone and computer networks, oil and gas pipelines, ports and airports.

Secret negotiations also include taking over responsibility for protecting Government buildings and key economic targets.

...Richard Thompson, a former Foreign Office counter-terrorism expert who has served in Iraq, took over the force in June last year and has been carrying out strategic reviews to prepare for its expanded role.

The intention is that the force, which has a £50million-a-year budget, will have more officers and take over policing other power stations, critical telecom buildings, gas installations, fuel dumps, airports and other key terror targets

....The Critical National Infrastructure force is expected to be announced as part of Security Minister Lord West's review of Britain's preparedness for terrorism.
Spy Blog points out that Whilst it might make sense to have some 24/7 armed protection for, say, the Balgzand (Netherlands) to Bacton (Norfolk) gas pipeline terminal, covered extensively here when Bacton had an explosion earlier this year - Friday, April 04, 2008 - Friday, April 04, 2008 IslamoFascist transatlantic airplane toilet terror liquid exploding baby bomb plot and an explosion at Bacton Gas teminal ) Tuesday, March 04, 2008 The Bigger the Bang - The Louder the silence No 17 : Massive gas Explosion at Nyagan, Siberia covered up... and gas cuts to Ukraine ?? Friday, February 29, 2008 Bacton - Pipelines blowing up - Press shutting up - gas price going up.

As ever Spy Blog has expertly filleted this proposal to extend and expand a secretive, unaccountable armed force, and raises some ( well quite a lot - 18 in total up to press) Obvious Spy Blog Questions - go and read them and consider. e.g;

# - Why should these armed guards be called "Police" when they should actually be a military unit ?
# - Other countries civil nuclear facilities or Government buildings are protected with anti-aircraft missiles and heavy machine guns, armoured fighting vehicles, attack helicopters etc. Surely the Critical National Infrastructure Police will not be expected to just use pistols and sub machine guns, and unarmoured police vehicles ? ?

# - Will the Critical National Infrastructure Police have their own bomb disposal expertise ?

Sp Blog also raises some fascinating points about the newly uniformed Border Police and their role in working with these new Plods/ Gendarmerie and the murky under world of hired military muscle.

IanPJ at the Libertarian Party blog remarks ;

With every incidence of new armed, empowered Police forces answerable only to politicians, it weakens the role of our real Police, sworn Police Officers who swear allegiance to the Crown.

Classic totalitarian tactics.

Of course, with the incapacity of British Energy to keep all the ageing, clapped out, outdated , nuclear reactors working (for deatails see analysis of last years Annual Report see Wednesday, May 28, 2008 British Energy; lamentable tale of management incompetence and national decline in engineering and reliance on the nation's critical energy supplies ) their will be precious little for this shiny new Gendarmerie to protect and precious little for them to do.

Cold wars suddenly got colder - Official .. Re - run those reels won't yah ?

This is a copy of the post made on December 3rd 2006. - we referred to remarks by Senator Lugar in our post on Saturday European Energy security exposed by events in Georgia - and winter is 2/3 months away - UK decades of delay ... A kind visitor remembered this post and suggested it was repeated 20 months later. Oil was then around US$60 a barrel and in the US Regular Unleaded gas was US$2.10 at the pump ... As we remarked then .. he highlighted that we live in a much changed .. and rapidly changing world of energy flows.


Mobile Topol-M ballistic missile

Lord Patel met Senator Richard Lugar , Chairman of the US Senate Foreign Relations committe at Purdue this summer, whilst his immediate interest was to boondoggle for his home state Indiana's share of ethanol subsidies he made some trenchant remarks about energy security in the modern world.

He is a tough, shrewd, worldly wise politician who is now bowing out from centre stage. Following his summertime remarks in Purdue, he made a chracteristically blunt (but unremarked ) speech at the Marshall Fund conference in Riga, in Latvia in advance of the NATO summit. In the light of Turkmenbashis's death it is worth considering. Full text at US Embassy

NATO he points out is bigger, it is busier than ever. That is not a guarantee however of security in a global world - when NATO was originally forged to deal with the defence of Europe from the Warsaw Pact countries. He dwelt at some length on the role of NATO in Afghanistan ...

"Although the hunt for al-Qaeda terrorists continues, the primary threat to the stability of Afghanistan is Taliban insurgents who are challenging ISAF in greater numbers, sowing dissent among Afghanis, cooperating with the bourgeoning narcotics trade, and complicating security efforts in ways that inhibit the rule of law and reconstruction."

He pointed out that whatever the political will, action was dependent upon expenditure ..

"To overcome these challenges and similar ones, we must reverse the downward spiral of defense budgets. Only a handful of members spend more than 2 percent of their gross domestic product on defense. Good intentions can only carry a military force so far ..."


He pointed out what many in the US see as the foot dragging of NATO nations ..

"It is imperative that NATO fulfills its commitments to Afghanistan. The Alliance has found it difficult to generate the political will to meet NATO objectives.....Unfortunately, NATO capitals are making the military mission even more difficult by placing national caveats on the use of their forces. These restrictions, coupled with troop shortages, are making ISAF a less cohesive and capable force."


He moved on and marked the " Centrality of Energy" to the NATO mission, to prevent wars and not fight them. He then outlined a key problem which a less than united Europe should consider..

" In the coming decades, the most likely source of armed conflict in the European theater and the surrounding regions will be energy scarcity and manipulation. It would be irresponsible for NATO to decline involvement in energy security, when it is abundantly apparent that the jobs, health, and security of our modern economies and societies depend on the sufficiency and timely availability of diverse energy resources."

" .... our experiences provide little reason to be confident that market rationality will be the governing force behind energy policy and transactions."

He then highlighted that we live in a much changed .. and rapidly changing world of energy flows.

"As recently as four years ago, spare production capacity exceeded world oil consumption by about ten percent. As world demand for oil has rapidly increased in the last few years, spare capacity has declined to two percent or less. Thus, even minor disruptions of oil supply can drive up prices."


He continued, to describe what he was to call geo-strategic blackmail.

"We are used to thinking in terms of conventional warfare between nations, but energy could become the weapon of choice for those who possess it. It may seem to be a less lethal weapon than military force, but a natural gas shutdown to a European country in the middle of winter could cause death and economic loss on the scale of a military attack."


he then warmed to the core of his concerns, which affects NATO and their allies.

"We must move now to address our energy vulnerability. "

"Article Five of the NATO Charter identifies an attack on one member as an attack on all.....We should recognize that there is little ultimate difference between a member being forced to submit to foreign coercion because of an energy cutoff and a member facing a military blockade or other military demonstration on its borders."

Addressing the concerns about Rusia he called for dialogue ..
"I believe that Russia has a long-term interest in achieving a more prosperous stability that comes with greater investment in its energy sector and the development of a reputation as a trusted supplier. But its recent actions to temporarily reduce gas supplies to the West, confiscate some foreign energy investments, and create further barriers to new investment are undermining confidence in Moscow’s reliability. "

Remember ....this was before Gazprom successfully strong armed Shell over Sakhalin and Tblisi gave in on a new price for gas from next week.

He concluded ..

"I understand that adopting energy security as a mission is a major advancement from NATO’s origins. But it represents an historic opportunity to change the circumstances of geopolitics to the benefit of all members".
Meanwhile the first regiment of Topol-M mobile intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) went on active duty in the Ivanovo region in central Russia this month and received a visit from President Vladimir Putin on 14 December 2006. He called the deployment a "significant step forward in improving our defense capabilities".(see exclusive pic)

"Maintaining a strategic balance will mean that our strategic deterrent forces should be able to guarantee the neutralization of any potential aggressor, no matter what modern weapon systems he possesses," Putin said.


The state-of-the-art mobile Topol-M ballistic missile, with a liftoff weight of 47.2 tonnes, a range of more than 10,000 kilometers and capability of carrying a 1,200-kilogram warhead, which is immune to electromagnetic impulses is a valuable reminder of the uncreasingly tough competition between the great powers for unimpeded access to raw materials, including energy resources.

On 15 December 2006 Colonel-General Nikolai Solovtsov, commander or Russia's Strategic Missile Forces,said "We will begin to equip the Topol-M mobile missile system with multiple re-entry vehicles in a few years."

Ukraine's Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovych had a visitor to discuss gas supplies for winter this week. President Putin.

Knol is a four letter word

Knol is a four letter word. It is, according to the Book of Google, ".. an authoritative article about a specific topic."

Knol is yet another Google product. It is a rival to Wikipedia. (Knol = Knowledge) which isn't a 4 letter word but was (unlike Google) founded on the fruits of pornography. The principal and primary difference , is the authors(s) are listed , identified and not anonymous and retain (so far) editing control. A nice thought, is that the Dutch steamcleaning equipment company owns http://www.knol.com/ and won't sell. Which is why http://knol.google.com/k#
will get you there. Google "knol" and it shows as second to Stock Market Ticker KNOL

Google , "envisions Knol as a place where experts can share their knowledge on a variety of topics. It hopes to create a sort of online encyclopedia built from the contributions of scores of individuals" .. Notably they can place Google ads. (Like you can with Blogger - do you see any ?) ... and maybe may score a higher rank in searches on Google ???? ... type in "buttermilk pancakes" in Google.

For example david petherick comments on his experience ..

The Google Knol I created just yesterday entitled 'How to Read the Russian Alphabet in 75 Minutes' is already appearing on Page 1 of a Google Search for "read russian" with 12,300,000 results following. I have updated the title within Knol from the one showing in the Google index, but that's still a pretty impressive result for content that I created and put online only yesterday.

Knol is 3 weeks old , unknown and until this post is posted, obscure.

Google has always said it will never compromise the objectivity of its search results - when asked ...it treats Knol pages like any other pages on the Web. “When you see Knol pages rank high, they are there because they have earned their position,” said Gabriel Stricker, a spokesman for Google quoted in the NYT. This in entertainingly discussed at Infothought
and here at sphinn

Knol is merely a tool for others to create and publish information, and once they do, Mr. Stricker said, “our job, which is to organize that information, kicks in.” Google does not own copyrights to the Knol content, and the site will not carry the Google logo.

Martin A. Nisenholtz, is the big cheese and senior vice president of digital operations at the Times Company, which own About.com and was asked if Knol posed a threat to About.com. “About.com is very well positioned in the marketplace.”

Some media companies, like WebMD, have already begun posting their content on Knol.

“We participated in Google Knol as a test, as we’ve done with other, similar offerings,” a WebMD spokeswoman, Jennifer Newman, said in an e-mail message to the NYT. “We are evaluating its effectiveness in further building brand awareness for WebMD.”

Wikipeda gets a lot of flak... it provides a good (in many cases excellent) kicking off point for any research - look at the History of Israel or the biographies of closet homosexual LabourPrime Ministers and don't expect or get objectivity. Wiki has a zillion articles and light years start even if it was launched on the back of revenue from pornography. See post Monday, March 27, 2006
100 things you didn't know about Wikipedia for the rather odd tales about Bomis (founded 1966)and Jimmy Wales.

Knol doesn't somehow have the "feel" we are used to with Wiki -it's another source and author identification (can this be checked ?) helps to provide rigour and authenticity.

Have a look and a play - Postman Patel's RED HOT TIP Try Google search and add "Knol" as a prefix or a suffix and note the difference(s) in search results.

BBC Olympics feeds - ideal for part time workers


BBC have several selectable LIVE feeds from the Olympics and have a sneaky pop - up window which you can hide - should you be unwise enough to steal your employers time and broadband by watching. Excellent.

NBC Beijing for the US audience is , even more chauvinistic and is even better in US coverage . It has wonderful biographies of every athlete in the games.

EU food production forecasts show big growth (Ho Ho Ho) ,no EU tariffs, so lower retail prices in store (Ho Ho Ho)

The European Commission published on August 7th the annual crop yield forecast, which is based on an updated analysis by the Commission's in-house scientific service, the Joint Research Centre (JRC), using an advanced (and very slick) crop yield forecasting system.

The MARS (Monitoring Agriculture with Remote Sensing) Crop Yield Forecasting System includes use of meteorological databases, low resolution satellite technology, and the use of historical statistics to produce forecasts. See Thursday, April 20, 2006 Hi Tech sky spy to verify EU farm subsidy - Lo tech computer system should pay, won't pay.

The latest forecast , produced on August 7th is available here
and makes welcome reading as retail food prices soar.They are based on data up to July 31st 2008.

Favourable weather conditions and an increase in the planted area farmed should lead to a total cereals harvest close to 301 M tonnes for this year in the European Union, 43 M tonnes or a 16& increase on 2007 and a growth of 9% on the past five years' average production.

2008, the latest yield forecasts show the following trends:
- soft wheat: 5.6 t/ha (+4.8%)
- durum wheat: 3.1 t/ha (+12.8%)
- barley: 4.4 t/ha (+5.7%)
- grain maize: 6.9 t/ha (+9.5%)
- rape seed: 2.9 t/ha (-2,1%)
- sunflower: 1.6 t/ha (+1.7%)
- potato: 26.5 t/ha (-1.1%)
- sugar beet: 70.3 t/ha (+19.0%)

The greatest increase is for sugar beet, (The UK started producing ethanol from sugar beet last year) cultivated mainly in northern Europe, with the main producers Germany and France, which benefited from favourable weather. see Friday, November 23, 2007 ABF / British Sugar's Wissington sugar beet / bioethanol plant on stream and opened by Lord Rooker

Maize yield is expected to be 20.1% higher than last year and 9.5% higher than the past five years' average, with very high yield increases for Romania (+122%), Bulgaria (+193%) and Hungary (+94%), countries that had been suffering from drought last year.

The winter of 2007/2008 was rather mild, especially in Central and Eastern Europe, but cooler than the exceptionally mild winter of 2006/07. Temperatures followed a seasonal course with warmer average temperatures compared to the long term average (period 1975–2007) for Central and Eastern Europe. June and July have been slightly cooler for France, Northern Spain and the United Kingdom.

Rainfall throughout the season has been abundant and well distributed for Spain but has led to over-wet situations in France and northern Italy.

As zloty strengthens , Poland calls for food tariffs to be re-imposed

To ensure supplies the EU suspended tariffs for the 2007/08 marketing year and now Poland has asked the EU to reimpose import tariffs on cereals to limit inflows of cheap supplies ahead of their expected bumper harvest this year, the Polish agriculture minister Marek Sawicki 50, told Reuters on Friday. He has been the Minister since since November 16, 2007.

Latest data provided by The Polish Agriculture Ministry shows the average price for a tonne of milling wheat dropped in Poland by almost 5 % month-on-month in July to 762 zlotys (Euros 236). See graph for zloty exchange rate for last 12 months.

"At the moment, because of the overvalued zloty, for many companies owning large storage areas it pays off to import grains, whether from Hungary or from Ukraine," he added.

In June 2008, the tariffs were suspended for another season to ensure sufficient supplies in an attempt to slow rising retail food prices.




In a related area Poland's previous conservative-nationalist administration and Brussels had been in a legal dispute over GMO in animal fodder for months. The Commission filed a lawsuit against Poland in the European Tribunal of Justice for passing a law banning GMO seeds and animal fodders. Poland responded with a counter-suit.

In January, Poland's newly-installed liberal government had said it planned to change the incoming law in order to stay in line with European Union rules. Under the rules of the 27-nation EU, a member state has the right to apply a "safeguard clause" against GMO products if it can provide scientific evidence to question their safety.

Despite the planned fodder rules, Poland is to continue allowing the import of genetically modified food for human consumption, provided it is clearly labelled as containing GMOs and cannot be transformed into other products, ie ; used as an ingedient.

UPDATE : Bloomberg - Euro Slumps to Five-Month Low on Reduced Bets for Higher Rates

The euro slumped to a 5 month low against the dollar. Traders pared bets the European Central Bank will raise interest rates as the economy slows.

The euro also fell to a 3 week low versus against the yen after ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said economic growth will be ``particularly weak'' through Q3 and policy makers kept the benchmark rate unchanged last week. more

The Boy David is on the case : Georgian violence ... widespread concern... EU, OSCE,UN

"I have today ((FCO) Foreign Secretary, David Miliband, deplores continued fighting in Georgia ) had a number of (telephone ?) calls with international colleagues. There is widespread concern about the escalating violence in Georgia."

"At the UN, the EU and the OSCE the UK will lend its strong support to all those committed to a swift resolution to the conflict." (No mention of NATO ?)

How do Mr Putin and Mr Medvedev sleep at night ?

BBC UPDATE 1200 BST A BP spokesman said the BTC pipeline had not been damaged by the fighting. US light, sweet crude was up $1.16 at $116.36 a barrel, while London's Brent crude gained $1.45 to $114.78 up to 9.30 am.

BBC4 Radio News at 1200 BST Foreign Office Minister says Russian deployment of Black Sea Fleet "deplorable"."The only solution is diplomatic". Apparently increasingly despairing President Saashkavilli has signed a cease fire deal which is being taken by 2 self important EU Foreign Ministers to Moscow (Finnish and we didn't identify the other)who will be kept kicking their heels in some draughty Kremlin waiting room.

Israel's part in arming Georgia, and the risky game of Russian Roulette they have been playing


The Jerusalem Post had a fascinating little piece about Israel's trade with Georgia.

As ever it concerns arms sales - this time from Israel to Georgia which had been investigated by the downmarket newspaper Ma'ariv.

1. At an unstated date and source the Russians sent a letter to Foreign Minister and wannabe Prime Minister, ex Mossad , daughter of leading post war terrorists Tzipi Livni, asking Israel to refrain from selling state-of-the-art weaponry to Georgia, and stating that Moscow had acceded to similar requests by Jerusalem in the past. Israel has repeatedly asked Russia not to sell top-line weapons systems to Syria and Iran.

The NYT has Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov saying ,"Those who have been supplying arms to Georgia, they should feel part of the blame for the loss of life," (including US and Ukraine) and that , "foreign leaders "who have been appeasing Mr Saakashvili's intentions, and helped create the feeling of impunity inside the Georgian , should think twice about whether this is right." (Impunity os the diplospeak street cred phrase these days - it means throwing your weight about)

The situation in South Ossetia is widely believed to be one of the topics of discussion (not the ladies gymnastics team event) over the weekend in Beijing between President Shimon Peres and Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin.

2. Former government minister (2001) and Tel Aviv mayor (93-08) Roni Milo was heavily involved in arms sales to Georgia, as a representative of Elbit and the Israeli Military Industries, and that Brig.-Gen (res.) Gal Hirsch, one of the senior officers who left the IDF after coming under blistering criticism following the Second Lebanon War, was heavily involved in Georgia in providing training for infantry and elite units.The former division commander has lately turned to private enterprise, after writing a book defending his actions.

The "official" line is that now only sells defensive weapons to Georgia. Israeli companies had sold some $300 million worth of military equipment to Georgia according to Ma'ariv.

3. Israeli defense officials were embarrassed (?) in April when an Israeli-manufactured drone was shot down by the Russians, and again in May when another drone, and a state-of-the-art Israeli rocket system called Lynx, were on display at a Georgian military parade. (pic)

The BBC had a nice story with a video of a Russian MiG-29 shooting down the unarmed Georgian drone over Abkhazia , this was supplied to the BBC as a feed from the drone which Georgia supplied, and ends with the drone exploding.

Fragments of the drone were put on display in public in Sukhumi, the Abkhaz capital. Garry Kupalba, deputy defence minister of the unrecognised Republic of Abkhazia (except Russia) , told reporters the drone had been shot down by an "L-39 aircraft of the Abkhaz Air Force". He also identified the drone as an Israeli-made Hermes 450.

This is from the same stable as the ones the UK has bought from Israel for use in Afghanistan now they cannot re-fuel Nimrod's for surveillance.

Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni was apparently conveing a meeting of senior ministry officials yesterday to deal with the Russian-Georgian flare-up, amid concern that Israeli arms sales to Georgia could harm relations with Russia - and lead to them selling arms to Syria / Iran.

Coincidentally, Israel's new envoy to Georgia, Yitzhak Gerberg, was scheduled to leave for his new post on Saturday. Despite the situation on the ground, he left as scheduled.

No doubt this will put a stop to all those youthful "trekkers" spending their holidays in the Georgian mountians, watchingbirds and collecting butterflies.

Today (Monday) the JP reports that Israeli diplomatic officials were in contact throughout Sunday with their firendly Russian counterparts. They deny any talk of crisis in Israeli-Russian relations as a result of the Russian-Georgian conflagration and past sales of Israeli arms to Tbilisi. Of course.

Israel has sold an estimated $300 million to $500m. worth of weaponry and military training to Georgia over the last decade.

It appears that Tzipi's Sunday get together has resulted in her Foreign Ministry instituting a complete ban on sales to the region, concerned they would infuriate the Russians and spur Moscow into selling more advanced weapons to Iran and Syria.

It is worth noting a story Azerbaijan buys Israel-made military hardware and technique dated August 7th -Israel-made 5.56mm Tavor TAR-21 submachine gun has been bought for some units of the Azerbaijani Army.

Azerbaijan has also bought military supplies and rockets from various military firms in Israel. Azerbaijan’s armory includes 120mm and 160mm Lynx rocket plane produced by TAAS company (assembled at the base of KamAZ 63502), as well as 300mm EXTRA rockets, pilotless vehicles Orbiter and Aerostar produced by Aeronautics company.

A part of these arms and supplies was demonstrated during the military parade on June 26.

Israel’s Soltam company is holding talks on export of 122mm Semser self-propelled artillery and Naiza rockets to Azerbaijan. Also reported “Voennie vestnik Izrailya"

Arms. Somebody somewhere is making 'em, selling 'em, using 'em.


UPDATE & PS : Ex Diplomat Craig Murray on his website does a why oh why which is worth looking at for his perspective views on on EU energy (in)security but betrays the diplospeak mind ..2 August 10, 2008 There Are No Good Guys, But We Must Be Most Wary of Russia
"An immediate ceasefire is required now and a de facto Russian annexation of South Ossetia must not be permitted ..." and having framed that policy, what exactly do we do to persuade that nice Mr Putin with his hands on the gas and oil taps ? Talking nicely to him ?

A, " de facto Russian annexation of South Ossetia " seems to have happened. In less than 3 days ditto Abkhazia. Which are effectively the direct and fairly predictable consequences of installing Russian "peacekeepers" there after the 1992 fun and games.




Ex-envoy: Georgia modelled its army after IDF ynet

"Georgian government officials used to tell me that they wanted to model their army after the IDF," former Israeli ambassador to Georgia Shabtai Zur told Ynet Sunday evening amid the country's bloody feud with Russia over the separatist region of South Ossetia.

Travel Advisory Issued for Georgia, Jews Being Evacuated
Yeshiva world News 10th August 2008

Assisting in closing defense packages with Israel is Georgia’s Defense Minister, Davit Kezerashvili, a fluent Hebrew-speaker and former Israeli.

Deals were made for items including anti-aircraft and communications systems, as well as turrets for armored vehicles and communications systems. One of the people who profited from such arrangements is Roni Milo, a former Public Security Minister who represented Elbit.

Gal Hirsch, a former IDF brigadier-general, one of the senior officers compelled to step down following the Second Lebanon War, also provided tactical training, working with Georgian military officials to establish commando units mimicking Israel’s Sayeret Matkal.

He is a partner in a firm called Defensive Shield.

There is also 61-year-old former IDF Major-General Yisrael Ziv, who heads a security consulting firm.
2 Israeli firms say they left Georgia before fighting Haaretz Tuesday 12th August 2008

Two Israeli security companies, Defensive Shield and Global CST, announced yesterday that they had completed their projects in Georgia before fighting between that country and Russia broke out on Friday. The two are among several Israeli companies advising Georgia on security
matters, training its army and occasionally supplying it with weapons.

Defensive Shield, owned by Brig. Gen. (res.) Gal Hirsch, said all its employees, including its subcontractors, are no longer in Georgia. It said it completed the work it had been contracted to do, and that all its contracts with Georgia had been approved by Israel's Defense Ministry. Security systems services company Global CST, managed by Maj. Gen. (res.) Israel Ziv, said it finished its work in Georgia at the end of July.

A retired senior Israeli officer who recently trained troops in Georgia said yesterday he was surprised that the Georgians faced off against Russia, since they have a much smaller army. "They got into an adventure that I wouldn't have chosen to get into, based on the level of professionalism I saw in my visits to the Georgian army," the officer said. "Who knows where this will end." "This is an army that was in the process of disintegrating over 15 or 16 years," the officer added. "This process required reconstruction, and that's where the Israelis entered the picture, along with companies from other countries.

verything was very, very basic. We dealt mainly with basic training for the units. It will take a long time until the military forces there will advance to a high professional level.

The Georgian army cannot under any circumstances be a serious rival to the Russians at present." The officer also stressed the difference in military might: "Georgia is a small country, with barely 4.5 million people," he said. "They have a small army - to be honest, not much different from that of a Third World country.

" The Georgians began reorganizing their army in 2002, with American assistance. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s, the Georgian army has primarily been comprised of remnants of Red Army units.

Oil - a declining resource and new refineries a slowly contracting business

No one is going to be building any more refineries.There won't be enough oil left to refine by the time new refineries could pay for themselves.

There hasn't been a new refinery built in the US since 1976. In 1982, there were 301 operable refineries in the U.S and they produced about 17.9 million barrels of oil per day. The last new refinery built in the United States was Marathan Ashland's Garyville, La., plant — and it was completed in 1976. Between 1999 and 2007 total refining capacity in the United States rose only 3 %. This will be expanded it was anounced last week . Marathon Oil Corporation's board of directors approved one of the largest economic development projects ever in Louisiana. This US$3.2 billion expansion of the 30-year-old refinery in Garyville, LA will expand the company's crude oil refining capacity by 180,000 barrels per day.

The refinery currently has 560 direct employees and another 350 full-time contract workers. St. John the Baptist Parish-will receive between $40 and $50 million in sales and use taxes during project construction.

Today there are only 149 refineries, and they're producing 17.4 million barrels.

This increase in efficiency is impressive but not a miracle. As with everything these outputs are carefully calculated to optimize profitability.

New refineries require massive financial commitments which take anywhere from 15 to 25 years to amortize. Resistane to their constructionis active, funded and relentless. With record oil prices it would make perfect sense to invest in a few refineries today, except... for the lack of oil to be refined 20 years from now.

Tradeable oils have reached their peak, oil production is starting on the downward slope.

After 2020, there will be less and less oil to refine no matter where drillers look. In this context, Building expensive new refineries does not make financial sense as existing ones will be sufficient to process whatever little oil is left.

So forget about new refineries, except for a few maybe in the northern midwest to process the heavy oil from Canada and some in the Caucasus and eventually in Iraq and Iran ...eg a US$81-million contract will be awarded jointly to the U.S.-based Colorado Industrial Construction Services Co. (CICSCO) and CH2M HILL's affiliate VECO Co. for the upgrade and production of gasoline from the Samawah refinery(IHT 7/8/08)

Mexico's state-run energy monopoly Pemex who have 6 refineries they constantly upgrade presented a plan on Wednesday (6/8/08) for a new oil refinery with a processing capacity of 300,000 barrels per day of heavy crude.

UPS to bid €10bn for TNT ?


Reader will know our views and psition on UPS (Thursday, August 07, 2008John McCain - not delivering the goods for DHL - but UPS benefits ) and therefore our interest in the Daily Telegraph story today (Monday) with the sensational headline UPS plots bid for TNT by By Louise Armitstead and Ben Harrington

They breathlessly reveal that United Parcel Service (UPS) is plotting (?) a €10bn (£7.8bn) bid for TNT who are based in Holland (listed in Amsterdam) to consolidate their global express-delivery business.Talks have been held recently .

UPS, with a market value of $66.24bn has appointed investment bank Morgan Stanley as adviser and "strategy consultants" AT Kearney who have reported to the money men on Wall Street.

TNT, (advised by Sacks of Gold) operates in 200 countries and employs 161,500 peoplewith a market value of €9.6bn,reported €11bn in revenues and operating income of €1,192m last year.

UPS' plans in buying TNT could include selling its postal division to the German Post Office ( who have already done a parcel carrying deal with UPS see post linked above) or to a private equity buyer - which seems highly unlikey. CVC, the European buyout giant,they says might be interested because they own stakes in Belgium and Danish postal service operators De Post-La Post and Post Danmark.

On Friday, TNT's shares closed at €25.36, valuing the business at €9.6bn.



Dale Jarrett drove UPS' NASCAR car very successfully for many years

Sunday, August 10, 2008

US / NATO / EU left to ponder over the consequences of Saakashvilli's blunder - the Russian Bear carries his gun and his hands on the gas + oil taps

It is extremely difficult to construct a coherent picture of events in the Caucasus and even harder to forecast the consequences both on the ground but on commodity pries, especially oil and gas.

The Russkis are calling for President Saakashvillis head. His short lived, and ineffectual attack on the tiny town of Tskhinvali, the capital of South Ossetia, reveals he truth of Tallleyrand's dictum: it was worse than a crime, it was a blunder.

1. It appears that 3 days after the deliberate "invasion" of Georgian forces into South Ossetia (which is by any international legal standards Georgian territory) there has been a declared withdrawal and ceasefire from 5 am local time, (EST +8 hrs)and something like a 90% ceasfire - ie Georgians are still shelling in Abkhazia and into Ossetia - firing at aircaft. TV coverage is very confusing as the location / date / forces are not identified.

2. The Russians are relentlessly pursuing military action on the ground and from the air. It seems (BBC) that a military airport near Tibiklis has been bombed and some reports talk of the International airport being bombed.

The Russians have sunk at least one missile coastal patrol boat , they say it ignored shots across it's bows - there are also credible reports of widespread damage at Poti and maybe the BT oil terminal at Supsa - it would be like shooting fish in a barrel as they have overwhelming air superiority.

There are reports , most likely exagerated of 7/8 Russian planes shot down. At least one Georgian plane has been shot down in Ossetia.

3. Some 20-25 thousand Ossetians who have been given Russian passports have fled north to Russia and many Georgians in ossetia have fled south - there have also been smaller scale movements in Abkhazia.

4. It seems most Western Embassies have told nationals to leave , there has been no information about flights out -- passengers reaching London etc.,Poland, a major US ally who are already members of NATO have called for an EU stabilisation force to be sent in.

5. There are no reports of consequential armed events in Nagorno Karabak, Armenia etc.,

6. There are no reports of damage to the BTC pipeline although Georgia has cklaimed it was bombed but missed. The Russians must surely know precisely where the pipeline lies - pumping stations etc. It s probably safe to assume that 1% of the world's oil supply has been held up for at least 4-6 weeks and maybe for 6 months.

7. Geneva conventions apply as this is an international conflict - looking after civilians etc., and Georgia is a member of the ICC. This is aproblem for lawyers way down the road. It is evident in Gori that civilian targets were hit

8. There is much talk but little evidence of any result of EU intervention , diplomacy. Zalmay Khalilzad (a Pushto speaking Afghani-American) the US representative at the UN has tabled a motion about Ruissia's "inappropriate behaviour" which in their diplomatic doublespeak isn't even a rap over the knuckles. Silence reins on the surface but anxious phone calls will be made and nails chewed in Downing Street. Quote is ""We have made it clear to the Russians that if the disproportionate and dangerous escalation on the Russian side continues, that this will have a significant long-term impact on US -Russian relations."

The Russian response has been dismissive ..Russia's UN ambassador Vitaly Churkin branded "completely unacceptable" US claims that the Russian military in Georgia has waged a campaign of "terror." "This is completely unacceptable, especially from the lips of a representative of a country whose action we are aware of in Iraq, Afghanistan and Serbia." (Trans. Kosovo)

The Russian Press talks of Georgian "genocide".

The timing for Putin et al is perfect, Bush wants no more adentures and the contenders don't want to, and haven't even mentioned Georgia.

Somebody in Sarkozy's office (everyone in France is on Vacances) said they should all stop fighting.

NATO's secretary general Jaap de Hoop repeated his call for an immediate cease-fire, he also expressed his concerns about the disproportionate use of force and lack of respect for the territorial integrity of Georgia."

The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry stated that the country reserved the right to forbid vessels of the Russian Black Sea Navy to return to their base in Ukraine’s Sevastopol.

A "Ukrainian official" said that Ukraine was not willing to become involved in the conflict. They also have had their gas cut off.

9. It can only mean markets will open lower and oil / gas prices will move up at least US$5 and maybe more for near month contracts.

10. Casualties / deaths are impossible to assess. Visually there a few dead and few injured but bad civilian residential damage. Much of the shelling / missile strikes / bombing seems haphazard.

The Russkis are calling for Saakashvillis head. His short lived, and ineffectual attack on the tiny town of Tskhinvali, the capital of South Ossetia reveals he truth of Tallleyrand's dictum: it was worse than a crime, it was a blunder.

Not an ideal man to unify the Georgians - but can Uncle Sam have his glove puppet changed or removed ?

Where will Georgia get their gas from this year ? - it was turned off before in December '06 afterwhich they agreed on doubling the price with Gazprom.

Monday papers
Daily Telegraph - Georgia: America admits it has few options for dealing with Russia-Georgia war
Independent Georgia bows to might of Russia
Times Retreat and terror in face of Russian Army (Exclusive ! ?)
Guradian Russia rejects ceasefire calls as Georgia withdraws
Daily Mail Russia tanks 'turned back' at Georgian border as refugees flee in panic byline "A Daily Mail reporter - shy war correspondent?

As we go to bed Oil is holding steady with no major movement at all.

Thanks to aangirfan for link to excellent backgrounder in Sunday Herald 'This is no longer about the future of a tiny far-away country but about the nature of the world order in the 21st century - Rob Parsons, former BBC Moscow correspondent


On Thursday night, Georgian forces launched a lightning attack that brushed aside Ossetian resistance within hours. By Friday afternoon, they had taken control of the Ossetian capital, Tskhinvali.

The Georgians have modernised and restructured their armed forces to bring them into line with Nato standards, and their special forces now serve regularly in Iraq and Afghanistan. They are well-trained and battle-hardened. But the Georgians miscalculated. They thought that if they moved quickly before the Russians could act, the international community would then act to ensure the conflict was contained.

The Russians were indeed caught off balance. Moscow had a tough choice: face the humiliation of accepting a fait accompli or incur the anger of the international community by effectively going to war against a Western ally.

With Putin at the helm, there was never really any question what the Russians would do - at least not once Russian peacekeepers died. The ferocity of the Russian response, though, has caught the West by surprise.


The ferocity of the Russian response, though, has caught the West by surprise....Why ? on't we have mebassies . military attaches, surveillance , intelligence - or is everyone on holiday ?

We must not forget 2 things - the recent exercises with US troops and the bombing / damage / cutting off of the BTC pipeline in Turkey.

Again the oil price remains fairly unmoved by all this. Latest 1230 EST US$116.31
Up US$ 1.11 Up 0.96%

Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority get injunction to prevent hackers disclosure of Charlie Card security flaws at DEFCON show in Las Vegas


The Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority (The T)uses a Charlie Card for their touch free payment electronic payment systems. This uses the NXP/Philips' MIFARE standard 1k chips provided by G&D and Schlumberger - Sema and the card is a contactless radio transmitter / receiver. Nearly half a million dollars are collected every weekday by riders on the subway using these cards.

This RFID chip has been hacked by Dutch academics and recent failures of Transport for London's Oyster card may be the result of hackers exploiting the architecture and systems that have been revealed by them.

There is a DEFCON hacker convention due today. DEFCON , founded in 1993, has a website and claims on its website, http://www.defcon.org/ to be the oldest continuously running hacker convention in the world, drawing 3,000 to 5,000 people annually. It began Friday at the Riviera Hotel & Casino in Las Vegasand runs through to today.

They have advertised a presentation by 3 Massachussets Institute of technology students (Zack Anderson, R.J. Ryan, and Alessandro Chiesa) initially on the DEFCON site - "Want free subway rides for life?" T officials then contacted the students and the university, arranging a meeting last week. After the meeting, In which it appears it was stated that the FBI were also inviolved, in an apparent conciliatory gesture, the students changed the first line of the posting to read, "The anatomy of a subway hack." See below for details.

The T is sueing the named students claiming their plan to unmask potential security flaws in the CharlieCard and Charlie- Ticket systems at a Las Vegas computer conference would cause "significant damage to the transit system."

The T was granted a 10 day injunction yesterday in the US District Court in Boston by Judge Douglas Woodlock at 8 am Saturday that barring the 3 named students from presenting their methods and findings at the DEFCON hacker convention today. He ordered them not to provide "program, information, software code, or command that would assist another in any material way to circumvent or otherwise attack the security of the Fare Media System."

The MBTA allege in documents presented to the court that the trio claimed to have circumvented the security protocols of the electronic ticketing system. The suit alleges the students publicly offered "free subway rides for life" to people over the Internet, and planned to show others how to duplicate their methods at a DEFCON presentation.

The lawsuit was also spreading their flak by naming MIT as a defendant, saying the school failed to "instruct and guide the MIT undergraduates to responsibly disclose information concerning perceived security flaws."

A computer security researcher, Eric Johanson, defended the students in a statement filed in court by and on behalf of MIT, saying none of the information they were planning to disclose was new.

Johanson also said that computer security researchers need to openly discuss the flaws they find in real-world systems so better ones can be built.

He added that "prohibition of open discussion of security vulnerabilities greatly harms the ability of researchers to function and has a chilling effect not only on publication, but on whether some important research is done in the first place, greatly stifling scientific advancement."

The T is seeking , as yet unspecified financial damages , plus an extended injunction to prevent the trio from releasing their findings until it can plug any possible security holes - if there are any.

The T is not sure there is a security problem (Oh yes there is !!) , but the 10-day injunction will provide time to find out. Lydia Rivera, a T spokeswoman says "The injunction is allowing us to review the research that they have and see if there is any validity to their findings, and take corrective action, if any is even necessary."

The injunction was a bit late as every person registering for Defcon (several thousand) received a CD with the students' 87-page presentation titled "Anatomy of a Subway Hack." It recounts, in detail, how they wrote code to generate fake magcards. Also, it describes how they were able to use software they developed and US$990 worth of hardware to read and clone the RFID-based CharlieCards. This apparently enables cloning of cards with a value up to US$655.36.

The distribution of the CD's commenced on Thursday evening, meaning the injunction arrived nearly two days late. (On the other hand, the source code to the utilities--not included on the CD--was removed from www.web.mit.edu/zacka/www/subway/ by Saturday morning.)

The whole 87 page document is available (Sunday night 1500 EST) here as a pdf file
http://www-tech.mit.edu/V128/N30/subway/Defcon_Presentation.pdf it really is a remarkable document - better than the Da Vinci code and probably in the wrong hands is a recipe for all sorts of naughty games. No doubt there will be foolish people who will make copies and distribute them. Likely available on e-bay already. Mirrors have already popped up at
https://dl.getdropbox.com/u/77164/anatomy%20of%20a%20subway%20hack.pdf
http://www.evernote.com/pub/ssulistyo/InfoSecStuff#07ff6ce9-1aa9-45e9-8bd2-10ce0805e534

There are more mirrors over at Cryptome

This is what DEFCON advertised as at the top of the post - click as Gemma advises to enlarge

The Anatomy of a Subway Hack:
Breaking Crypto RFID's and Magstripes of Ticketing Systems

Zack AndersonStudent, MIT
RJ RyanStudent, MIT
Alessandro ChiesaStudent, MIT

In this talk we go over weaknesses in common subway fare collection systems. We focus on the Boston T subway, and show how we reverse engineered the data on magstripe card, we present several attacks to completely break the CharlieCard, a MIFARE Classic smartcard used in many subways around the world, and we discuss physical security problems. We will discuss practical brute force attacks using FPGAs and how to use software-radio to read RFID cards. We survey 'human factors' that lead to weaknesses in the system, and we present a novel new method of hacking WiFi: WARCARTING. We will release several open source tools we wrote in the process of researching these attacks. With live demos, we will demonstrate how we broke these systems.

Zack Anderson is studying electrical engineering and computer science at MIT. He is an avid hardware and software hacker, and has built several systems such as an autonomous vehicle for the DARPA Grand Challenge. Zack is especially interested in the security of embedded systems and wireless communications. He has experience building and breaking CDMA cellular systems and RFID. Zack has worked for a security/intelligence firm, and has multiple patents pending. He enjoys building systems as much as he enjoys breaking them.

R J Ryan is researcher at MIT. His longtime passion for security has resulted in a number of hacks and projects, including a steganographic cryptography protocol. RJ works on a number of technical projects ranging from computer security to operating systems, distributed computation, compilers, and computer graphics. He enjoys learning how things work, and how to make things work for him.

Alessandro Chiesa is a Junior at MIT double majoring in Theoretical Mathematics and in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science. Born and raised in Varese,Italy, he came to MIT with interests in computational algebraic geometry, machine learning, cryptography, and systems security. He has authored papers such as "Generalizing Regev's Cryptosystem", which proposes a new cryptosystem based on shortest vector problems in cyclotomic fields. He is currently working with Oracle's Database Security group.

These guys are not crooks.

Public Transport systems relying on the Mifare chip had better get their act together - fast. This is their wake - up call. Anyone listening at TfL ?

MIT students R.J. Ryan, Alessandro Chiesa and EFF attorney Marcia Hofmann talk about the injunction.


Olympic 127Km Womens Road Rage won by Welsh girl Nicole Cooke


Jolanta Polikeviciute, 38 her twin sister Rosa also rides , she started when she was 13 and came 31st in Athens 1.18 mins behind.

Beatrix "Trixi" Worrack ,27 German National Road Race Champion, 25th in Athens.

Maria Wilhelmina Johanna Melchers-Van Poppel 33, on September 7, 2006 Melchers crashed during the third stage of the Euregio Tour. She broke her pelvis, a hip and her jaw. She was 6th in Athens

Nicole Cooke, 35 is the The Welsh Wonder was the The 2003 and 2006 UCI World Cup Champion, Cooke has been ranked number one in the world on the road since July of 2006. She is the two-time defending champion in La Grande Boucle Feminine (the women's Tour de France).

Will the Olympics really put a kick into Ronald McDonalds pants ?


Ronald McDonald is hummungous in Peking - this mega sponsor (since 1976) has 4 restaurants feeding stops on the Beijing Olympic site

1.In the Olympic Village to serve athletes (?)
2. At the main press center to serve the huge media population
3. Plus 2 for live spectators, in the main activity area
4. ... and on the Olympic Green.

This how they reported monthly sales figures in February ;
1. Same-store sales in the U.S. rose 8.3% during the month, led by breakfast and coffee offerings.
2. European same-store sales grew by an impressive 15.4% on strong results in the U.K., France, Germany and Russia.
3. Asia Pacific region, Middle East and Africa rose 10.9% for the month, mostly on strength in Australia, China and Japan.
4. Systemwide sales, which include restaurants owned by franchisees and affiliates operating under joint-venture agreements, rose 13.2% in February.

Now for July MCD reported total sales growth in a slightly different way and same store comparable sales Friday which were McHuge. Here is how it breaks down:

1. Global MCD: Comp sales +8.0%; Systemwide sales in constant currency +9.5%;
US: Comp sales +6.7%; Systemwide sales +7.6%;
2. Europe: Comp sales +7.6%; Systemwide sales in constant currency +9.5%;
3. Asia/Pac/MidEast: Comp sales +7.2%; Systemwide sales in constant currency +10.0%.

This shows how folks are grabbing a McCafe not a Starbucks cup of warm(ish) brown water - then there is good news for the crews - expanded hours around the globe; and, growth in China / Russia. Reflected in a 12 month high share price.

Olympic sponsorship

This year’s 12 Olympic “proud partners” are predominantly American companies Cola (KO), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), General Electric (GE), McDonalds (MCD), Visa (V), and Kodak (EK), followed by new local supporters such as personal computer maker, Lenovo (IBM PC's as was) , and Life Insurer-Manulife. They can also take the opportunity to benefit locally for example this smart idea in Israel - probably works better than lottery money.

French information technology firm Atos-Origin, timekeeper Omega, and electronics companies like Panasonic and Samsung are a second tier of providers (and they hope beneficiaries).

There also many other big providers who make the games happen ...Many major businesses use the Games as an advertising opportunity. This year, there is an extensive list composed of big American names like United Parcel (UPS), Anheuser-Busch (BUD), Staples (SPLS), Nike (NKE) and their rivals Adidas (ADDYY) to name a few. Local marketers making their entrance in the Olympics are Chinese internet-provider Sohu.com (SOHU) and the massive petroleum products company Sinopec (SHI).

Northern Wreck's criminal CEO's pay to let you run your fingers through my hair old baldy shag bag's £1 Mn property empire and lucky young son's luck

Guy Basnett (P7 News of the World ) has a fascinating story about slim party loving, gym rat, gorgeous, brunette Amanda Smithson - readers will remember a post about this lady Sunday, June 22, 2008 Summer Lightning , who featured in the long runing saga of Northern Wreck - also a later one on Sunday, December 23, 2007 Applegarth the crook is adulterer as well - while he took his eye off the ball, somebody had their hands on his .

Imagine. We just thought she was the lucky lady from the rent to let, being shagged senseless by fun loving criminal and CEO Adam Applegarth - now 46 (another company asset going down ?) on his trips to Washington . She ...er...retired late 2007 to spend more time with her money and the well endowed shagger.

Now it appears the little vixen, whose slim beautifully toned ,sun kissed, supple, yet sinewy thighs have (so far) not been caressed by Lord Patel, has been shrewdly setting up and lining her little NEST egg - and we just thought she was on the nest!

1. May 2003 she checks in at the exclusive Wills Building in Newcastles trendy area for mistresses for a naughty £139,950 (we revealed this in this post)

2. September 2005 she splashes out on a mews house in the same super secure compound for a modest £193,000.

3. 3 months later December 2005 she pops open her purse for a spacious £187,000 pad on the trendy dockside Luxury apartments complex at Mariners Wharf - NE1 2BJ .
4. 6 days later Father Christmnas must have been busy because she laid out ... £155,000 for a bijou flatette in Otterburn Viallas in upscale Jesmond.
5. Six months later and again she is snapping up a delightful property in West Jesmond for a £150,500 family home (baby on the way maybe?) .

That is an eyewatering £816,500 ! In one 10 month period she spent £677,000 plus solicitors, etc., quite something for a well paid (ish) buy to let lady on £36K per annum less tax/NI/ Union subscriptions/ sexy underwear ... The News of the World says it's worth over £1 Mn now.

Checks on the Land Registry show that the sultry Smithson own all 5 properties (rumour has it she owns another) and unsurprisingly her mortgages are all with Northern Wreck which was run until September last year by her very well endowed mortgage king Adam Applegarth. It is also intersting that these transactions directly covered the period when the criminal CEO was unloading ALL his Northern Rock shares at the top of the market for £2.7Mn - he had sold on Lord Patel's birthday 25th Jan 2006 52,253 shares @ 957p = £500,061.21 and the next day 111,426 shares @ 957p = £1,066,346.82. So where does a girl who lost her job find the money to pay probably £7,000 a month mortgages, plus any capital costs, solicitors, Stamp Duty...??

She wasn't the only lucky one, Adam's son Gregory snapped up for a mere £329,000 a flat just doors away from her Mariners Wharf love pad she had bought just 10 days before !

Yes ... with the help of a Northern Wreck mortgage..

Nor was he the only lucky one - the Sunderland Cricket club whose shirts bear Northern Wreck sponsored logos from Northern Wreck received of £100,000 and agreed a £50,000 unsecured loan months before the crash. They are part of the Ashbrook Club.***

So who is the captain of the NUSC team that fields shagger and crook Adam Applegarth ? Well it's Greg Applegarth, (like his pic girls ? - more here) his son who has that pad handy for his dad's bit on the side. He is also the Northern Universities Students CCC Elite Newcastle representative (is he still a student ?) - you can e-mail him from here also

The News of the World say having taken his £2.2 Mn pension pot and £750K severance pay .." he is under investigation.."



***Ashbrooke is a mature residential area of tree lined avenues, elegant Victorian terraces and discreet mews set in the heart of the City of Sunderland. In the middle of this attractive area lie Ashbrooke Sports Club and Ashbrooke Social Club. Once known as "The Lords of the North" Ashbrooke's Victorian grounds have recently been revitalised ****under an ambitious scheme aimed at improving our facilities for both existing members and potential new members of the Club.

**** C/O Criminal CEO Applegarth and Northern Wreck's generosity ?sunderland.cricketclub@googlemail.com Phone 0191 5284536 if you want to ask.Dr. Grenville Holland is the Hon Treasurer and President of Cricket he also is the Welfare Officier and ensures the club matches the ECB Child Welfare Requirements (?)
Sunderland Cricket Club home to the baldy old crook Adam Applegarth criminal CEO of Nortehrn Wreck .. evidently used to going in on a sticky wicket..



Just pop postcode SR2 7HH into Google Earth or for her Mariners wharf love nest / property investment use NE1 2BJ

Lord Patel's Top Tip - Save money at TESCO courtesy Rupert Murdoch probably the soon the only most responsible newspaper owner in the world

Presumably Mr Tesco and Mr Murdoch have done their sums - for the layout of 95p you get a resulting discount of £4.05 p = 13.5%.

Mr Tesco no doubt gets new loyal customer - or one that takes the proffered fiver and slips off to ASDA who also advertise in the magazine for a girls Polo 50p,Teflon stain reistant treated Skirt 2.50 and V neck jersey £2.00.

Mr Murdoch gets a a new customer who reads such interesting stories as the one above.

So go to Page 37 cut out the cleverly bar coded coupon'n' spend it before 16th August but not on petrol etc.,.. do not even begin to think about printing any off!!

FCO advises UK nationals to leave Georgia,"while some air services are still available and borders are open"

We advised readers yesterdaY - Russia attacks the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline and destroys port of Poti - is set on ethnically cleansing South Ossetia - Uncle Sam silently watches to keep an eye on the UK Embassy in Georgia website re travel advice to Georgia ..well our man in the FCO has just (10.05 BST) called us with this advice ''

"The Foreign and Commonwealth Office has changed its Travel Advice to Georgia. We now advise that if you have no urgent need to stay in Georgia, you should leave as soon as possible.

The relevant summary points now read:

We advise against non-essential travel to Georgia. If you or your family have no urgent need to remain in Georgia you should leave as soon as possible. It is wise to do so while some air services are still available and the border remains open. "


This is not yet on the Tbilisi Embassy website.. but they direct you to FCO site here with full advice on Georgian travel, just updated.

Oyster© and Transys given the boot by Boris to "save millions" - new "improved" Oyster / ID card in the works already ..seamlessly dovetailing ...

Boris Johnson the Mad Joker and Mayor of London tells us that after having read Lord Patel's damning indictment of the Oyster card security "features" 0n Monday, July 21, 2008 Oyster© - a lesson in obsolesence - a cracked technology and money will leak away through the cracks he decided to do something about it.

He has.

Moving swiftly (TranSys on their website said the 10-year break clause is standard in public-private financing deals, and negotiations have been taking place for a year. BBC) Boris has told Transys that they are looking for new suppliers from 2010 - although Transys own the "Oyster©" brand.

The Transport for London director of fares and ticketing Shashi Verma, wants to look for, " more cost-effective ways to manage and develop the Oyster© card system", and adds (very) optimistically that "we expect ...to save millions over the next few years." He also introduced with Barclays the new cashless pay card - "John Stout, CEO of TranSys, said, "Barclaycard came to us with an idea which could be dovetailed seamlessly with Oyster's existing functionality to deliver added value for Barclaycard customers, without disrupting a service which has become part of London life for millions of people." said in a Computer Weekly story on July 9th entitled "Barclaycard requests pre-registration for three in one card"

Most of those millions will probably be from the the types of software problems induced recently, which left Peter Hendy, Transport Commissioner for London,"incandescent with rage" and TfL a lot poorer.

It is of course an ideal opportunity to "re-assess", evaluate, consider, look at , determine, ponder, act, do sumfin' abaht, ways that the system could feed into PNC / ID systems as already happens - see here by Stef (notable for the introduction of the phrase "jumbo stiffy") Suspect Paki and Antagonist .

Now this has been expanded with the "Free" children's card. From June , Transport for London (TfL) made it mandatory for children aged between 11 and 18 to carry an Oyster photocard (Note the photo bit) in order to gain free travel (cf Carrots'n'Sticks Home Office Policy). TfL admits application data will be shared with its subsidiaries which it needed to help prevent anti-social behaviour.

Someone at the Information Commissioners Office (who the Gubment ignore anyway) ICO said : "We have some concerns that the information provided to young people about Zip cards does not clearly state why the personal information is being collected, how it will be used and how long it will be retained.

Plod (via TfL) explains ..."A young person with criminal convictions, warnings, reprimands and other sanctions committed on the public transport network could have the right to free travel withdrawn."

"In order to enforce these specific cases, personal information is requested by the Metropolitan Police Service, City of London Police Service and British Transport Police," he added.

BBC London learnt that in the past year the Met made at least 3,000 requests for information.

Gypsy Petulengro AKA Lord Patel looks into his Crystal Ballls and feeling in his water

In awarding the new contract "to save millions" it is certain that applicants for the new sooper, dooper, Oyster makoever card will have to complete a lengthy and detailed form ....

1. "Helping" to establish their identity,
2. Place of permanent abode,
3. Maybe their employment details, banking details - "so much easier with a Direct Debit Sir",
4. A fingerprint
5. Definitely a photograph - don't want someone else to "accidently" use your card do we sir if it gets mislaid ?
6. Blood Group ? Just a little prick sir as we take a sample to check - in case of an accident, you understand....
7. Seamless dovetailing using Oyster's functionality with all sorts of other seamless, silent and secret systems ....

It is also worth having a look at the Met Police site with details of how their Safer Transport Team to assist with zip card applications - will help fill in .." The application form is simple to complete, and there is no fee."

Feel confused well here is a handy cut out'n'keep Oyster territory map if you are a brown bearded man from Leeds up for the day and with a definite intent of loitering outside a kebab shop ..



Oops Lord Patel has let slip the special secret suicide bombers map with "code " words for stations to bomb. So if chummy says he's getting the Circle Line from Marks and Spencery Lane to Silentknightsbridge we've got him. Large copies available from Spys'r'Us, GCHQ, Cheltenham V16 X4T (one of those spooky Postcodes that never pops up on searches). Cheques payable to "Geoff" as usual. List of kebab shops extra.Details

Or drop them off (as usual) at House of Lords in Lady Handbag's pigeonhole - in emergency try RUSI, Whitehall and leave the porter an envelope marked "elderly lady spy".

Truth is no stranger to Fiction
Wall Street Journal Europe 8th August (not available ONline) has a story "A Streetcar named Nike" about Dubai's decision to open the naming of trains and 27 of the 47 planned metro stops on their US$4B. 75 Km rail system to commercial bidders.

One of the insane 4 story high billboards that litter Dubai's highways costs US 350,000 a year so a 10 year naming deal could generate £200Mn (5% of the cost). Emirates spent US$100 re-branding Arsenal's Stadium for 8 years.

Good idea. You heard it here first.

Iain Dale token blogiste adopted by the BBC, is a complete and utter wanker, devoid of knowledge or competent analysis

BBC News 24 provides a round up and analysis of the following day's UK press every evening at about 11.30 - the Saturday event is always longer because the Sunday broad sheet press is worthy of considered analysis and comment. This is usually done by an experienced journo who can cut through crap and fillet the stories to expertly expose what will feed the public's thirst for knowledge and imagination at tomorrow's breakfast tables.

Last night we were treated to Iain Dale described as Editor of Total Politics". The website incidentally, has a newsfeed from Mr Rupert Murdoch's wholly independently minded Sky News.

Total Politics - the mysterious but immensely well funded crew behind this mysterious monthly magazine and also the mysterious media "resurrection" of the Parliamentary candidate for Haltemprice and Howden, David Davies. See here and especially Monday, June 23, 2008
TOTAL POLITICS ... Vanguards in the fight for FREEDOM ? A tangled web of political personae, patrician's PR co, opaque funding and er... dog shi and this is worth a look Monday, June 30, 2008 David Davis - No case to answer - other than his deceit, dishonesty and lack of understanding - and total lack of any solutions to retain our Freedoms and for those interested in Common Purpose here Briefly Total Politics is run from the shady and shallow end of political thought.

In and around Georgia we have brewing, potentially the most awesome conflagration - which exposes Europe's lack of a coherent energy security policy - and in the face of Russian intransigence a NATO Alliance caught flat-footed.

Politicians are silent, analysts from RUSI are hiding in their arrases, even Lady Dame Jane Baroness Pauline Neville Jones of Milosevic has remained silent in her retirement at "MI5 Were Us", Bidawee Home for confused spies .

Step forward wannabe blogiste, politician and influential magazine editor Iain Dale - he explains that the lead story on georgia is important but admits that until yesterday (Friday) he had never heard of South Ossetia. The BTC pipe line of which gossip writer Dale was blissfully ignorant was one of the triumphs of President Clintonan foreign policy , who skilfully engineered the project to ensure Caucasian gold moved south to Europe , not North to Russia - it's an oddds on bet Dale knew the colour of the blue dress that figured so largely in his Oval Office shenanigans with Monica.

He was however excited about the prospect (uncertain however) of Rio Ferdinand becoming England captain. Now yer talkin'.

Yasmin Alibhai-Brown provided light relief, fiddling with her two tone spectacles and shuffling the papers.

Your 'O' level media studies question - compare and contrast with a savvy, sharp minded and remarkably pretty lady like Bronwen Maddox who appears (Lord Patel is glad to say) on this spot with a noticeable regularity.


As Gemma says, click to enlarge

Gemma says I was a bit hard on Yasmin Alibhai-Brown above - but she did do a Why oh WHY ??.... Why oh WHY ?? ....Why oh WHY ?? on the Maddie stroy in the News of the World .. More about their excellent journalism above.

(C) Very Seriously Disorganised Criminals 2002/3/4/5/6/7/8/9 - copy anything you wish